Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21263227›Full record

ReviewHuman vaccines2011

The 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: a case study of how modeling can assist all stages of vaccine decision-making.

Bruce Y Lee, Ann E Wiringa

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Human vaccines, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. The cost of an Ebola case.Pathogens and global health · 2015
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Bruce Y LeeUniversity of Pittsburgh School of Medicine and Graduate School of Public Health University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA. BYL1@pitt.edu
Ann E Wiringa

Funding

Training, Outreach & Diversity ComponentU54GM088491 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI LAKOSKI, JOAN M · 2009 to 2018
$16.7M
NIGMS NIH HHS 1U54GM088491-0109
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

During the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic nearly every decision associated with new vaccine development and dissemination occurred from the Spring of 2009, when the novel virus first emerged, to the Fall of 2009, when the new vaccines started reaching the thighs, arms and noses of vaccinees. In many ways, 2009 served as a crash course on how mathematical and computational modeling can assist all aspects of vaccine decision-making. Modeling influenced pandemic vaccine decision-making, but not to its fullest potential. The 2009 H1N1 pandemic demonstrated that modeling can help answer questions about new vaccine development, distribution, and administration such as (1) is a vaccine needed, (2) what characteristics should the vaccine have, (3) how should the vaccine be distributed, (4) who should receive the vaccine and in what order and (5) when should vaccination be discontinued? There is no need to wait for another pandemic to enhance the role of modeling, as new vaccine candidates for a variety of infectious diseases are emerging every year. Greater communication between decision makers and modelers can expand the use of modeling in vaccine decision-making to the benefit of all vaccine stakeholders and health around the globe.

Indexed as

Decision MakingHumansInfluenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesModels, StatisticalPandemicsInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID21263227
PMCPMC3062245

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.