Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21251286›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of health geographics2011

Modelling the variation of land surface temperature as determinant of risk of heat-related health events.

Yan Kestens, Allan Brand, Michel Fournier, Sophie Goudreau, Tom Kosatsky, Matthew Maloley, Audrey Smargiassi

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of health geographics, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Spatial Modeling and Analysis of Heat-Related Morbidity in Maricopa County, Arizona.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2021
    Article
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  6. County-level heat vulnerability of urban and rural residents in Tibet, China.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2016
    Article
  7. Article
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  13. Article
  14. São Paulo urban heat islands have a higher incidence of dengue than other urban areas.The Brazilian journal of infectious diseases : an official publication of the Brazilian Society of Infectious Diseases
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yan KestensDépartement de médecine sociale et préventive, Université de Montréal, Montreal, Canada. yan.kestens@umontreal.ca
Allan Brand
Michel Fournier
Sophie Goudreau
Tom Kosatsky
Matthew Maloley
Audrey Smargiassi

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe evaluation of exposure to ambient temperatures in epidemiological studies has generally been based on records from meteorological stations which may not adequately represent local temperature variability. Here we propose a spatially explicit model to estimate local exposure to temperatures of large populations under various meteorological conditions based on satellite and meteorological data.

methodsA general linear model was used to estimate surface temperatures using 15 LANDSAT 5 and LANDSAT 7 images for Quebec Province, Canada between 1987 and 2002 and spanning the months of June to August. The images encompassed both rural and urban landscapes and predictors included: meteorological records of temperature and wind speed, distance to major water bodies, Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI), land cover (built and bare land, water, or vegetation), latitude, longitude, and week of the year.

resultsThe model explained 77% of the variance in surface temperature, accounting for both temporal and spatial variations. The standard error of estimates was 1.42°C. Land cover and NDVI were strong predictors of surface temperature.

conclusionsThis study suggests that a statistical approach to estimating surface temperature incorporating both spatially explicit satellite data and time-varying meteorological data may be relevant to assessing exposure to heat during the warm season in the Quebec. By allowing the estimation of space- and time-specific surface temperatures, this model may also be used to assess the possible impacts of land use changes under various meteorological conditions. It can be applied to assess heat exposure within a large population and at relatively fine-grained scale. It may be used to evaluate the acute health effect of heat exposure over long time frames. The method proposed here could be replicated in other areas around the globe for which satellite data and meteorological data is available.

Indexed as

ClimateEpidemiologic MethodsHot TemperatureConfidence IntervalsHeat Stress DisordersHumansLinear ModelsRegression AnalysisRisk AssessmentTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID21251286
PMCPMC3034657

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.