Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21242564›Full record

SynthesisAnnals of family medicine

A systematic review of clinical decision rules for the diagnosis of influenza.

Mark H Ebell, Anna Afonso

Registry-linked trialAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Annals of family medicine. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04245800 (Behavioral Patterns and Patient Self-completed Diagnostic Testing Study of Respiratory Viral Infection "Home Testing of Respiratory Illness"), which is not on this map. Cited by 29 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04245800 completednot on this map

Behavioral Patterns and Patient Self-completed Diagnostic Testing Study of Respiratory Viral Infection "Home Testing of Respiratory Illness"

TypeobservationalSponsorEvidation HealthRan2019 to 2020Enrolled5,233ConditionsInfluenza -Like Illness, Influenza A, Influenza Type B, Respiratory Viral Infection
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Clinical presentation and microbiological diagnosis in paediatric respiratory tract infection: a systematic review.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2015
    Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Diagnosing COVID-19 in the Emergency Department: A Scoping Review of Clinical Examinations, Laboratory Tests, Imaging Accuracy, and Biases.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2020
    Article
  12. Influenza and Viral Pneumonia.Clinics in chest medicine · 2018
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Mark H EbellDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA. ebell@uga.edu
Anna Afonso

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIn this study, we assessed whether multivariate models and clinical decision rules can be used to reliably diagnose influenza.

methodsWe conducted a systematic review of MEDLINE, bibliographies of relevant studies, and previous meta-analyses. We searched the literature (1962-2010) for articles evaluating the accuracy of multivariate models, clinical decision rules, or simple heuristics for the diagnosis of influenza. Each author independently reviewed and abstracted data from each article; discrepancies were resolved by consensus discussion. Where possible, we calculated sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, likelihood ratios, and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

resultsA total of 12 studies met our inclusion criteria. No study prospectively validated a multivariate model or clinical decision rule, and no study performed a split-sample or bootstrap validation of such a model. Simple heuristics such as the so-called fever and cough rule and the fever, cough, and acute onset rule were each evaluated by several studies in populations of adults and children. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.70 and 0.79, respectively. We could not calculate a single summary estimate, however, as the diagnostic threshold varied among studies.

conclusionsThe fever and cough, and the fever, cough, and acute onset heuristics have modest accuracy, but summary estimates could not be calculated. Further research is needed to develop and prospectively validate clinical decision rules to identify patients requiring testing, empiric treatment, or neither.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesHumansInfluenza, HumanPredictive Value of Tests

Identifiers

PMID21242564
PMCPMC3022049

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.