Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21214916›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2011

Estimated incidence of cardiovascular complications related to type 2 diabetes in Mexico using the UKPDS outcome model and a population-based survey.

Nancy Reynoso-Noverón, Roopa Mehta, Paloma Almeda-Valdes, Rosalba Rojas-Martinez, Salvador Villalpando, Mauricio Hernández-Ávila, Carlos A Aguilar-Salinas

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 78 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Nancy Reynoso-NoverónOficina del Subsecretario de Salud, Secretaria de Salud, (Lieja 7, Colonia Juárez), México City (06600) México.
Roopa Mehta
Paloma Almeda-Valdes
Rosalba Rojas-Martinez
Salvador Villalpando
Mauricio Hernández-Ávila
Carlos A Aguilar-Salinas
Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán · MXInstituto Nacional de Salud Pública · MXSecretaria de Salud · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo estimate the incidence of complications, life expectancy and diabetes related mortality in the Mexican diabetic population over the next two decades using data from a nation-wide, population based survey and the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) outcome model.

methodsThe cohort included all patients with type 2 diabetes evaluated during the National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANut) 2006. ENSANut is a probabilistic multistage stratified survey whose aim was to measure the prevalence of chronic diseases. A total of 47,152 households were visited. Results are shown stratified by gender, time since diagnosis (> or ≤ to 10 years) and age at the time of diagnosis (> or ≤ 40 years).

resultsThe prevalence of diabetes in our cohort was 14.4%. The predicted 20 year-incidence for chronic complications per 1000 individuals are: ischemic heart disease 112, myocardial infarction 260, heart failure 113, stroke 101, and amputation 62. Furthermore, 539 per 1000 patients will have a diabetes-related premature death. The average life expectancy for the diabetic population is 10.9 years (95%CI 10.7-11.2); this decreases to 8.3 years after adjusting for quality of life (CI95% 8.1-8.5). Male sex and cases diagnosed after age 40 have the highest risk for developing at least one major complication during the next 20 years.

conclusionsBased on the current clinical profile of Mexican patients with diabetes, the burden of disease related complications will be tremendous over the next two decades.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationModels, StatisticalAdultAge FactorsCardiovascular DiseasesCross-Sectional StudiesDiabetes ComplicationsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHealth SurveysHumansIncidenceLife ExpectancyMaleMexicoMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID21214916
PMCPMC3023678
OpenAlexW2085277239

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.