Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21094661›Full record

ArticlePreventive medicine2011

Dying for a smoke: how much does differential mortality of smokers affect estimated life-course smoking prevalence?

Rebekka Christopoulou, Jeffrey Han, Ahmed Jaber, Dean R Lillard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive medicine, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. The Greek smoking epidemic from a life-course perspective.Journal of public health (Oxford, England) · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Health information and life-course smoking behavior: evidence from Turkey.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2019
    Article
  9. Changes in Smoking Behavior over Family Transitions: Evidence for Anticipation and Adaptation Effects.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Is Smoking Behavior Culturally Determined? Evidence from British Immigrants.Journal of economic behavior & organization · 2015
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rebekka ChristopoulouBronfenbrenner Life Course Center, Beebe Hall, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA. rc448@cornell.edu
Jeffrey Han
Ahmed Jaber
Dean R Lillard

Funding

Cross-National Patterns and Predictors of Life-cycle Smoking BehaviorR01AG030379 · NIA · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI LILLARD, DEAN R · 2009 to 2013
$2.5M
Smoking Cessation Among Older AmericansR03AG021014 · NIA · CORNELL UNIVERSITY ITHACA · PI LILLARD, DEAN R · 2003 to 2004
$158k
NIA NIH HHS 1 R01 AG030379-01A2NIA NIH HHS 1 R03 AG 021014-01NIA NIH HHS R01 AG030379NIA NIH HHS R03 AG021014
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAn extensive literature uses reconstructed historical smoking rates by birth-cohort to inform anti-smoking policies. This paper examines whether and how these rates change when one adjusts for differential mortality of smokers and non-smokers.

methodsUsing retrospectively reported data from the US (Panel Study of Income Dynamics, 1986, 1999, 2001, 2003, 2005), the UK (British Household Panel Survey, 1999, 2002), and Russia (Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Study, 2000), we generate life-course smoking prevalence rates by age-cohort. With cause-specific death rates from secondary sources and an improved method, we correct for differential mortality, and we test whether adjusted and unadjusted rates statistically differ. With US data (National Health Interview Survey, 1967-2004), we also compare contemporaneously measured smoking prevalence rates with the equivalent rates from retrospective data.

resultsWe find that differential mortality matters only for men. For Russian men over age 70 and US and UK men over age 80 unadjusted smoking prevalence understates the true prevalence. The results using retrospective and contemporaneous data are similar.

conclusionsDifferential mortality bias affects our understanding of smoking habits of old cohorts and, therefore, of inter-generational patterns of smoking. Unless one focuses on the young, policy recommendations based on unadjusted smoking rates may be misleading.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityPrevalenceRetrospective StudiesRussiaSmokingUnited KingdomUnited States

Identifiers

PMID21094661
PMCPMC3024854

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.