Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21044964›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2010

Designing a randomized clinical trial to evaluate personalized medicine: a new approach based on risk prediction.

Stuart G Baker, Daniel J Sargent

RetractedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Stuart G BakerNational Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892-7354, USA. sb16i@nih.gov
Daniel J Sargent

Funding

Women's Cancer ProgramP30CA015083 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Felicity Enders · 1985 to 2026
$151.3M
NCI NIH HHS CA15083
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We define personalized medicine as the administration of treatment to only persons thought most likely to benefit, typically those at high risk for mortality or another detrimental outcome. To evaluate personalized medicine, we propose a new design for a randomized trial that makes efficient use of high-throughput data (such as gene expression microarrays) and clinical data (such as tumor stage) collected at baseline from all participants. Under this design for a randomized trial involving experimental and control arms with a survival outcome, investigators first estimate the risk of mortality in the control arm based on the high-throughput and clinical data. Then investigators use data from both randomization arms to estimate both the effect of treatment among all participants and among participants in the highest prespecified category of risk. This design requires only an 18.1% increase in sample size compared with a standard randomized trial. A trial based on this design that has a 90% power to detect a realistic increase in survival from 70% to 80% among all participants, would also have a 90% power to detect an increase in survival from 50% to 73% in the highest quintile of risk.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorResearch DesignHumansPrecision MedicinePrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID21044964
PMCPMC2994862

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.