Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21031138›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2010

Evidence that pneumococcal serotype replacement in Massachusetts following conjugate vaccination is now complete.

William P Hanage, Jonathan A Finkelstein, Susan S Huang, Stephen I Pelton, Abbie E Stevenson, Ken Kleinman, Virginia L Hinrichsen, Christophe Fraser

Open access · hybridAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 150 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
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  6. Trial
  7. Review
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  19. Article
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18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

William P HanageDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK. w.hanage@imperial.ac.uk
Jonathan A Finkelstein
Susan S Huang
Stephen I Pelton
Abbie E Stevenson
Ken Kleinman
Virginia L Hinrichsen
Christophe Fraser
Boston University · USHarvard Pilgrim Health Care · USImperial College London · GBHarvard University · USUniversity of California, Irvine · US

Funding

Post-PCV pneumococcal population genetics and resistanceR01AI066304 · NIAID · HARVARD PILGRIM HEALTH CARE, INC. · PI FINKELSTEIN, JONATHAN A · 2006 to 2014
$6.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI066304
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) has been reduced in the US following conjugate vaccination (PCV7) targeting seven pneumococcal serotypes in 2000. However, increases in IPD due to other serotypes have been observed, in particular 19A. How much this "serotype replacement" will erode the benefits of vaccination and over what timescale is unknown. We used a population genetic approach to test first whether the selective impact of vaccination could be detected in a longitudinal carriage sample, and secondly how long it persisted for following introduction of vaccine in 2000. To detect the selective impact of the vaccine we compared the serotype diversity of samples from pneumococcal carriage in Massachusetts children collected in 2001, 2004 and 2007 with others collected in the pre-vaccine era in Massachusetts, the UK and Finland. The 2004 sample was significantly (p >0.0001) more diverse than pre-vaccine samples, indicating the selective pressure of vaccination. The 2007 sample showed no significant difference in diversity from the pre-vaccine period, and exhibited similar population structure, but with different serotypes. In 2007 the carriage frequency of 19A was similar to that of the most common serotype in pre-vaccine samples. We suggest that serotype replacement involving 19A may be complete in Massachusetts due to similarities in population structure to pre-vaccine samples. These results suggest that the replacement phenomenon occurs rapidly with high vaccine coverage, and may allay concerns about future increases in disease due to 19A. For other serotypes, the future course of replacement disease remains to be determined.

Indexed as

ChildChild, PreschoolCommunicable Disease ControlFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantLongitudinal StudiesMaleMassachusettsPneumococcal InfectionsPneumococcal VaccinesProgram EvaluationReference ValuesRisk AssessmentSampling StudiesPneumococcal VaccinesVaccines, ConjugateInfectious disease epidemiologyNasopharyngeal carriagePopulation geneticsStreptococcus pneumoniae

Identifiers

PMID21031138
PMCPMC2963072
OpenAlexW2090760434

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.