Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20924783›Full record

ArticleAIDS and behavior2011

Scaling up circumcision programs in Southern Africa: the potential impact of gender disparities and changes in condom use behaviors on heterosexual HIV transmission.

Kyeen M Andersson, Douglas K Owens, A David Paltiel

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS and behavior, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Epidemiology at a time for unity.International journal of epidemiology · 2018
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Male circumcision and HIV infection risk.World journal of urology · 2012
    Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kyeen M AnderssonDivision of Health Policy & Administration, Department of Epidemiology & Public Health, Yale University School of Medicine, 60 College Street, New Haven, CT 06510, USA. kyeen@aya.yale.edu
Douglas K Owens
A David Paltiel
Yale University · USStanford University · US

Funding

MEDICAL SCIENTIST TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM007205 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KAZMIERCZAK, BARBARA I · 1985 to 2019
$42.9M
Making Better Decisions: Policy Modeling for AIDS and Drug AbuseR01DA015612 · NIDA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI OWENS, DOUGLAS K · 2002 to 2017
$9.4M
Processes of Peer InfluenceP20DA017589 · NIDA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI HOYLE, RICK · 2003 to 2007
$6.1M
Yale Training Program in Health Services ResearchT32HS017589 · AHRQ · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SCHLESINGER, MARK J · 2008 to 2024
$5.6M
AHRQ HHS T32 HS017589AHRQ HHS T32HS017589NIDA NIH HHS P20 DA017589NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA015612NIDA NIH HHS R01DA015612NIGMS NIH HHS GM07205NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM007205
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Circumcision significantly reduces female-to-male transmission of HIV infection, but changes in behavior may influence the overall impact on transmission. We sought to explore these effects, particularly for societies where women have less power to negotiate safe sex. We developed a compartmental epidemic model to simulate the population-level impact of various circumcision programs on heterosexual HIV transmission in Soweto. We incorporated gender-specific negotiation of condom use in sexual partnerships and explored post-circumcision changes in condom use. A 5-year prevention program in which only an additional 10% of uncircumcised males undergo circumcision each year, for example, would prevent 13% of the expected new HIV infections over 20 years. Outcomes were sensitive to potential changes in behavior and differed by gender. For Southern Africa, even modest programs offering circumcision would result in significant benefits. Because decreases in male condom use could diminish these benefits, particularly for women, circumcision programs should emphasize risk-reduction counseling.

Indexed as

HeterosexualityAdultCircumcision, MaleCondomsDisease Transmission, InfectiousFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMathematicsModels, TheoreticalPrevalenceRisk Reduction BehaviorSex FactorsSexual PartnersSouth Africa

Identifiers

PMID20924783
PMCPMC3112296
OpenAlexW2068861915

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.