Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20889726›Full record

ArticleMolecular biology and evolution2011

A Bayesian phylogenetic method to estimate unknown sequence ages.

Beth Shapiro, Simon Y W Ho, Alexei J Drummond, Marc A Suchard, Oliver G Pybus, Andrew Rambaut

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular biology and evolution, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. A 75,000-y-old Scandinavian Arctic cave deposit reveals past faunal diversity and paleoenvironment.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  8. A Million Years of Mammoth Mitogenome Evolution.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025
    Article
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  12. Highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) virus infections on fur farms connected to mass mortalities of black-headed gulls, Finland, July to October 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
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18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Beth ShapiroDepartment of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, PA, USA. beth.shapiro@psu.edu
Simon Y W Ho
Alexei J Drummond
Marc A Suchard
Oliver G Pybus
Andrew Rambaut

Funding

Bayesian Joint Estimation of Alignment and PhylogenyR01GM086887 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SUCHARD, MARC A. · 2008 to 2012
$1.5M
Novel Statistical Models for Synthesizing Social Networks and Epidemic DynamicsR01GM083603 · NIGMS · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI HUNTER, DAVID · 2007 to 2011
$1.4M
Synthesizing the Evolutionary and Ecological Dynamics of Acute RNA Viruses: CompaR01GM083983 · NIGMS · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI GRENFELL, BRYAN · 2008 to 2011
$1.1M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM083603NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM083983NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM086887
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heterochronous data sets comprise molecular sequences sampled at different points in time. If the temporal range of the sampled sequences is large relative to the rate of mutation, the sampling times can directly calibrate evolutionary rates to calendar time. Here, we extend this calibration process to provide a full probabilistic method that utilizes temporal information in heterochronous data sets to estimate sampling times (leaf-ages) for sequenced for which this information unavailable. Our method is similar to relaxing the constraints of the molecular clock on specific lineages within a phylogenetic tree. Using a combination of synthetic and empirical data sets, we demonstrate that the method estimates leaf-ages reliably and accurately. Potential applications of our approach include incorporating samples of uncertain or radiocarbon-infinite age into ancient DNA analyses, evaluating the temporal signal in a particular sequence or data set, and exploring the reliability of sequence ages that are somehow contentious.

Indexed as

Models, GeneticPhylogenyAnimalsBayes TheoremBisonComputer SimulationDengue VirusDNA, MitochondrialTimeDNA, Mitochondrial

Identifiers

PMID20889726
PMCPMC3108556

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.