Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20879681›Full record

ArticleDemography2010

Knox meets Cox: adapting epidemiological space-time statistics to demographic studies.

Carl P Schmertmann, Renato M Assuçãon, Joseph E Potter

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Demography, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Carl P SchmertmannCenter for Demography and Population Health, Florida State University, USA. schmertmann@fsu.edu
Renato M Assuçãon
Joseph E Potter

Funding

The Fertility Transition in Brazil: 1960-2000R01HD041528 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AUSTIN · PI POTTER, JOSEPH E · 2002 to 2004
$758k
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD041528NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD41528
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many important questions and theories in demography focus on changes over time, and on how those changes differ over geographic and social space. Space-time analysis has always been important in studying fertility transitions, for example. However demographers have seldom used formal statistical methods to describe and analyze time series of maps. One formal method, used widely in epidemiology, criminology, and public health, is Knox 's space-time interaction test. In this article, we discuss the potential of the Knox test in demographic research and note some possible pitfalls. We demonstrate how to use familiar proportional hazards models to adapt the Knox test for demographic applications. These adaptations allow for nonrepeatable events and for the incorporation of structural variables that change in space and time. We apply the modified test to data on the onset offertility decline in Brazil over 1960-2000 and show how the modified method can produce maps indicating where and when diffusion effects seem strongest, net of covariate effects.

Indexed as

DemographyProportional Hazards ModelsSpace-Time ClusteringBirth RateBrazilHumansLikelihood FunctionsRiskSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID20879681
PMCPMC3000054

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.