Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20856886›Full record

Trial reportPloS one2010

Estimating the impact of plasma HIV-1 RNA reductions on heterosexual HIV-1 transmission risk.

Jairam R Lingappa, James P Hughes, Richard S Wang, Jared M Baeten, Connie Celum, Glenda E Gray, Wendy S Stevens, Deborah Donnell, Mary S Campbell, Carey Farquhar and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in PloS one, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 85 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
85citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
12.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

85 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 180 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Valacyclovir Decreases Plasma HIV-1 RNA in HSV-2 Seronegative Individuals: A Randomized Placebo-Controlled Crossover Trial.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2015
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25 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Jairam R LingappaDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America. lingappa@uw.edu
James P Hughes
Richard S Wang
Jared M Baeten
Connie Celum
Glenda E Gray
Wendy S Stevens
Deborah Donnell
Mary S Campbell
Carey Farquhar
M Essex
James I Mullins
Robert W Coombs
Helen Rees
Lawrence Corey
Anna Wald
Partners in Prevention HSV/HIV Transmission Study Team
University of Washington · USFred Hutch Cancer Center · USUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZAHarvard University · USPerinatal HIV Research Unit · ZA

Funding

University of Washington/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS ResearchP30AI027757 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Kenneth Sherr · 1988 to 2026
$104.9M
Viral Determinants of HIV-1 Transmission in African HeterosexualsP01AI057005 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI COREY, LAWRENCE · 2003 to 2014
$20.5M
NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI057005NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027757
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe risk of sexual transmission of HIV-1 is strongly associated with the level of HIV-1 RNA in plasma making reduction in HIV-1 plasma levels an important target for HIV-1 prevention interventions. A quantitative understanding of the relationship of plasma HIV-1 RNA and HIV-1 transmission risk could help predict the impact of candidate HIV-1 prevention interventions that operate by reducing plasma HIV-1 levels, such as antiretroviral therapy (ART), therapeutic vaccines, and other non-ART interventions. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsWe use prospective data collected from 2004 to 2008 in East and Southern African HIV-1 serodiscordant couples to model the relationship of plasma HIV-1 RNA levels and heterosexual transmission risk with confirmation of HIV-1 transmission events by HIV-1 sequencing. The model is based on follow-up of 3381 HIV-1 serodiscordant couples over 5017 person-years encompassing 108 genetically-linked HIV-1 transmission events. HIV-1 transmission risk was 2.27 per 100 person-years with a log-linear relationship to log(10) plasma HIV-1 RNA. The model predicts that a decrease in average plasma HIV-1 RNA of 0.74 log(10) copies/mL (95% CI 0.60 to 0.97) reduces heterosexual transmission risk by 50%, regardless of the average starting plasma HIV-1 level in the population and independent of other HIV-1-related population characteristics. In a simulated population with a similar plasma HIV-1 RNA distribution the model estimates that 90% of overall HIV-1 infections averted by a 0.74 copies/mL reduction in plasma HIV-1 RNA could be achieved by targeting this reduction to the 58% of the cohort with plasma HIV-1 levels ≥4 log(10) copies/mL. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: This log-linear model of plasma HIV-1 levels and risk of sexual HIV-1 transmission may help estimate the impact on HIV-1 transmission and infections averted from candidate interventions that reduce plasma HIV-1 RNA levels.

Indexed as

HeterosexualityAfrica, EasternAfrica, SouthernAnti-HIV AgentsCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansMaleRisk FactorsRNA, ViralSexual PartnersViral LoadAnti-HIV AgentsRNA, Viral

Identifiers

PMID20856886
PMCPMC2938354
OpenAlexW2149759731

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.