Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20711906›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical and experimental neuropsychology2011

Predicting conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease using neuropsychological tests and multivariate methods.

Robert M Chapman, Mark Mapstone, John W McCrary, Margaret N Gardner, Anton Porsteinsson, Tiffany C Sandoval, Maria D Guillily, Elizabeth Degrush, Lindsey A Reilly

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical and experimental neuropsychology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed.

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  18. Can visuospatial measures improve the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease?Alzheimer's & dementia (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2018
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Robert M ChapmanBrain and Cognitive Sciences and Center for Visual Science, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627–0270, USA. rmc@cvs.rochester.edu
Mark Mapstone
John W McCrary
Margaret N Gardner
Anton Porsteinsson
Tiffany C Sandoval
Maria D Guillily
Elizabeth Degrush
Lindsey A Reilly

Funding

VISUAL SCIENCE RESEARCH CTR SUPPORTP30EY001319 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI MICHELE RUCCI · 1985 to 2026
$17.5M
DNA methylation in Alzheimer?s disease and normally aged brainR01AG036400 · NIA · BANNER SUN HEALTH RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI COLEMAN, PAUL D · 2009 to 2013
$2.0M
Cognitive Brain Activity: Aging and DementiaR01AG018880 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI CHAPMAN, ROBERT M · 2003 to 2007
$1.4M
CORE--TRAINING AND INFORMATION TRANSFERP30AG008665 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI PODGORSKI, CAROL A · 1990 to 2000
$950k
NEI NIH HHS P30 EY001319NEI NIH HHS P30-EY01319NIA NIH HHS P30 AG008665NIA NIH HHS P30-AG08665NIA NIH HHS R01 AG018880NIA NIH HHS R01-AG018880NIA NIH HHS R01 AG036400
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Behavioral markers measured through neuropsychological testing in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) were analyzed and combined in multivariate ways to predict conversion to Alzheimer's disease (AD) in a longitudinal study of 43 MCI patients. The test measures taken at a baseline evaluation were first reduced to underlying components (principal component analysis, PCA), and then the component scores were used in discriminant analysis to classify MCI individuals as likely to convert or not. When empirically weighted and combined, episodic memory, speeded executive functioning, recognition memory (false and true positives), visuospatial memory processing speed, and visuospatial episodic memory were together strong predictors of conversion to AD. These multivariate combinations of the test measures achieved through the PCA were good, statistically significant predictors of MCI conversion to AD (84% accuracy, 86% sensitivity, and 83% specificity). Importantly, the posterior probabilities of group membership that accompanied the binary prediction for each participant indicated the confidence of the prediction. Most of the participants (81%) were in the highly confident probability bins (.70-1.00), where the obtained prediction accuracy was more than 90%. The strength and reliability of this multivariate prediction method were tested by cross-validation and randomized resampling.

Indexed as

Neuropsychological TestsAgedAlzheimer DiseaseCognition DisordersDepressionDiagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental DisordersDisease ProgressionEducational StatusFemaleHumansMaleMemoryMultivariate AnalysisPredictive Value of TestsPrincipal Component AnalysisPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID20711906
PMCPMC3048956

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.