Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20689581›Full record

ArticlePloS one2010

Correcting the bias of empirical frequency parameter estimators in codon models.

Sergei Kosakovsky Pond, Wayne Delport, Spencer V Muse, Konrad Scheffler

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 38 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Weak selection on synonymous codons substantially inflatesProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
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  18. Adaptive molecular evolution ofEcology and evolution · 2017
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Erratum issued
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Sergei Kosakovsky PondDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, United States of America. spond@ucsd.edu
Wayne Delport
Spencer V Muse
Konrad Scheffler
University of California, San Diego · USNorth Carolina State University · USStellenbosch University · ZA

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Maile Ann Young Karris · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Biomathematical analysis of viral dynamics/evolutionR01AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 2001 to 2011
$3.2M
Biomathematical Analysis of Viral Dynamics and EvolutionR56AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI POND, SERGEI L KOSAKOVSKY · 2012 to 2012
$365k
BIOMATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF VIRAL DYNAMICS AND EVOLUTIONR21AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 2000 to 2000
$308k
NIAID NIH HHS AI36214NIAID NIH HHS AI47745NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS R21 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI047745
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Markov models of codon substitution are powerful inferential tools for studying biological processes such as natural selection and preferences in amino acid substitution. The equilibrium character distributions of these models are almost always estimated using nucleotide frequencies observed in a sequence alignment, primarily as a matter of historical convention. In this note, we demonstrate that a popular class of such estimators are biased, and that this bias has an adverse effect on goodness of fit and estimates of substitution rates. We propose a "corrected" empirical estimator that begins with observed nucleotide counts, but accounts for the nucleotide composition of stop codons. We show via simulation that the corrected estimates outperform the de facto standard estimates not just by providing better estimates of the frequencies themselves, but also by leading to improved estimation of other parameters in the evolutionary models. On a curated collection of sequence alignments, our estimators show a significant improvement in goodness of fit compared to the approach. Maximum likelihood estimation of the frequency parameters appears to be warranted in many cases, albeit at a greater computational cost. Our results demonstrate that there is little justification, either statistical or computational, for continued use of the -style estimators.

Indexed as

CodonModels, StatisticalAlgorithmsBiasCodon

Identifiers

PMID20689581
PMCPMC2912764
OpenAlexW2111472408

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.