Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20667876›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2011

Imitation dynamics of vaccination behaviour on social networks.

Feng Fu, Daniel I Rosenbloom, Long Wang, Martin A Nowak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 113 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
113citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

113 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Individual incentives that promote collective intelligence.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  14. Social dilemma of nonpharmaceutical interventions: Determinants of dynamic compliance and behavioral shifts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  15. Social learning with complex contagion.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
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53 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Feng FuProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, One Brattle Square, Suite 6, MA 02138, USA.
Daniel I Rosenbloom
Long Wang
Martin A Nowak

Funding

Evolutionary Graph Theory and Its ApplicationsR01GM078986 · NIGMS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY · PI NOWAK, MARTIN · 2006 to 2009
$1.2M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM078986NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM078986
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The problem of achieving widespread immunity to infectious diseases by voluntary vaccination is often presented as a public-goods dilemma, as an individual's vaccination contributes to herd immunity, protecting those who forgo vaccination. The temptation to free-ride brings the equilibrium vaccination level below the social optimum. Here, we present an evolutionary game-theoretic approach to this problem, exploring the roles of individual imitation behaviour and population structure in vaccination. To this end, we integrate an epidemiological process into a simple agent-based model of adaptive learning, where individuals use anecdotal evidence to estimate costs and benefits of vaccination. In our simulations, we focus on parameter values that are realistic for a flu-like infection. Paradoxically, as agents become more adept at imitating successful strategies, the equilibrium level of vaccination falls below the rational individual optimum. In structured populations, the picture is only somewhat more optimistic: vaccination is widespread over a range of low vaccination costs, but coverage plummets after cost exceeds a critical threshold. This result suggests parallels to historical scenarios in which vaccination coverage provided herd immunity for some time, but then rapidly dropped. Our work sheds light on how imitation of peers shapes individual vaccination choices in social networks.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalSocial SupportComputer SimulationGame TheoryHumansImitative BehaviorMass VaccinationPatient Acceptance of Health CareRefusal to Participate

Identifiers

PMID20667876
PMCPMC2992723

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.