Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20634927›Full record

ArticleThe quarterly journal of economics2010

ESTIMATING MARGINAL RETURNS TO MEDICAL CARE: EVIDENCE FROM AT-RISK NEWBORNS.

Douglas Almond, Joseph J Doyle, Amanda E Kowalski, Heidi Williams

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The quarterly journal of economics, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Design.Annals of clinical epidemiology · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Problems with Using Polygenic Scores to Select Embryos.The New England journal of medicine · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Introduction to clinical research based on modern epidemiology.Clinical and experimental nephrology · 2020
    Review
  12. Methods for Evaluating Causality in Observational Studies.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2020
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Does Medicare Coverage Improve Cancer Detection and Mortality Outcomes?Journal of policy analysis and management : [the journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management] · 2020
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Observational
  19. Article
  20. Why Is Infant Mortality Higher in the United States Than in Europe?American economic journal. Economic policy · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Douglas AlmondColumbia University and NBER, MIT and NBER, Yale University and NBER, Harvard University.
Joseph J Doyle
Amanda E Kowalski
Heidi Williams

Funding

Understanding and Improving Healthcare Decision-Making and Outcomes for People Living with Alzheimer's Disease and Related DementiasP01AG005842 · NIA · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI Katherine Baicker · 1986 to 2026
$56.5M
NBER Training Program in Aging and Health EconomicsT32AG000186 · NIA · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI CUTLER, DAVID M, FINKELSTEIN, AMY N. · 1989 to 2024
$9.6M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG005842NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000186
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A key policy question is whether the benefits of additional medical expenditures exceed their costs. We propose a new approach for estimating marginal returns to medical spending based on variation in medical inputs generated by diagnostic thresholds. Specifically, we combine regression discontinuity estimates that compare health outcomes and medical treatment provision for newborns on either side of the very low birth weight threshold at 1500 grams. First, using data on the census of US births in available years from 1983-2002, we find that newborns with birth weights just below 1500 grams have lower one-year mortality rates than do newborns with birth weights just above this cutoff, even though mortality risk tends to decrease with birth weight. One-year mortality falls by approximately one percentage point as birth weight crosses 1500 grams from above, which is large relative to mean infant mortality of 5.5% just above 1500 grams. Second, using hospital discharge records for births in five states in available years from 1991-2006, we find that newborns with birth weights just below 1500 grams have discontinuously higher charges and frequencies of specific medical inputs. Hospital costs increase by approximately $4,000 as birth weight crosses 1500 grams from above, relative to mean hospital costs of $40,000 just above 1500 grams. Under an assumption that observed medical spending fully captures the impact of the "very low birth weight" designation on mortality, our estimates suggest that the cost of saving a statistical life of a newborn with birth weight near 1500 grams is on the order of $550,000 in 2006 dollars.

Identifiers

PMID20634927
PMCPMC2903901

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.