Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20613459›Full record

Trial reportAIDS (London, England)2010

Initiating patients on antiretroviral therapy at CD4 cell counts above 200 cells/microl is associated with improved treatment outcomes in South Africa.

Matthew P Fox, Ian M Sanne, Francesca Conradie, Jennifer Zeinecker, Catherine Orrell, Prudence Ive, Mohammed Rassool, Marjorie Dehlinger, Charles van der Horst, James McIntyre and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in AIDS (London, England), 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  9. High Proportions of Patients With Advanced HIV Are Antiretroviral Therapy Experienced: Hospitalization Outcomes From 2 Sub-Saharan African Sites.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Matthew P FoxCenter for Global Health and Development, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02118, USA. mfox@bu.edu
Ian M Sanne
Francesca Conradie
Jennifer Zeinecker
Catherine Orrell
Prudence Ive
Mohammed Rassool
Marjorie Dehlinger
Charles van der Horst
James McIntyre
Robin Wood

Funding

Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
The effect of ART on rates and transmission of TBU19AI053217 · NIAID · WITS HEALTH CONSORTIUM (PTY), LTD · PI MCINTYRE, JAMES ALASDAIR · 2002 to 2011
$44.9M
South Africa Tuberculosis/AIDS TrainingU2RTW007373 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI VAN DER HORST, CHARLES MICHAEL · 2007 to 2012
$1.4M
Rates, Predictors and Mortality Impact of Losses from HIV Care in South AfricaK01AI083097 · NIAID · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI FOX, MATTHEW ALEXANDER PEASE · 2009 to 2013
$615k
FIC NIH HHS U2R TW007373NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI083097NIAID NIH HHS K01AI083097NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS P30-AI50410NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI053217NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI53217PHS HHS 5U2RTW007373-03
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo compare treatment outcomes by starting CD4 cell counts using data from the Comprehensive International Program of Research on AIDS-South Africa trial.

designAn observational cohort study.

methodsPatients presenting to primary care clinics with CD4 cell counts below 350 cells/microl were randomized to either doctor or nurse-managed HIV care and followed for at least 2 years after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation. Clinical and laboratory outcomes were compared by baseline CD4 cell counts.

resultsEight hundred and twelve patients were followed for a median of 27.5 months and 36% initiated ART with a CD4 cell count above 200 cells/microl. Although 10% of patients failed virologically, the risk was nearly double among those with a CD4 cell count of 200 cells/microl or less vs. above 200 cells/microl (12.2 vs. 6.8%). Twenty-one deaths occurred, with a five-fold increased risk for the low CD4 cell count group (3.7 vs. 0.7%). After adjustment, those with a CD4 cell count of 200 cells/microl had twice the risk of death/virologic failure [hazard ratio 1.9; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.1-3.3] and twice the risk of incident tuberculosis (hazard ratio 1.90; 95% CI, 0.89-4.04) as those above 200 cells/microl. Those with either a CD4 cell count of 200 cells/microl or less (hazard ratio 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.8) or a WHO IV condition (hazard ratio 2.9; 95% CI, 0.93-8.8) alone had a two-to-three-fold increased risk of death/virologic failure vs. those with neither, but those with both conditions had a four-fold increased risk (hazard ratio 3.9; 95% CI, 1.9-8.1). We observed some decreased loss to follow-up among those initiating ART at less than 200 cells/microl (hazard ratio 0.79; 95% CI, 0.50-1.25).

conclusionPatients initiating ART with higher CD4 cell counts had reduced mortality, tuberculosis and less virologic failure than those initiated at lower CD4 cell counts. Our data support increasing CD4 cell count eligibility criteria for ART initiation.

Indexed as

AdultAIDS-Related Opportunistic InfectionsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCD4 Lymphocyte CountCohort StudiesDrug Administration ScheduleFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleSouth AfricaTreatment OutcomeTuberculosisViral Load

Identifiers

PMID20613459
PMCPMC2914833

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.