Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20548786›Full record

ArticlePloS one2010

Decreases in community viral load are accompanied by reductions in new HIV infections in San Francisco.

Moupali Das, Priscilla Lee Chu, Glenn-Milo Santos, Susan Scheer, Eric Vittinghoff, Willi McFarland, Grant N Colfax

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02167100 (Patient Retention in HIV Medical Care in a Primary Care Practice in Australia), which is not on this map. Cited by 411 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
411citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
45.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02167100 completednot on this mapstarted 2014, after this paper: background citation

Patient Retention in HIV Medical Care in a Primary Care Practice in Australia

TypeobservationalSponsorHoldsworth House Medical PracticeRan2014 to 2015Enrolled1,537ConditionsHIV
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

411 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 779 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Community viral load and hepatitis C virus infection: Community viral load measures to aid public health treatment efforts and program evaluation.Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology · 2020
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  15. State AIDS Drug Assistance Programs' Contribution to the US Viral Suppression, 2015-2022.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
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  18. Brief Report: HIV Incidence Among People Who Inject Drugs, San Francisco, 2022.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
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351 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Moupali DasSan Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California, USA. moupali.das-douglas@ucsf.edu
Priscilla Lee Chu
Glenn-Milo Santos
Susan Scheer
Eric Vittinghoff
Willi McFarland
Grant N Colfax
San Francisco Department of Public Health · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAt the individual level, higher HIV viral load predicts sexual transmission risk. We evaluated San Francisco's community viral load (CVL) as a population level marker of HIV transmission risk. We hypothesized that the decrease in CVL in San Francisco from 2004-2008, corresponding with increased rates of HIV testing, antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage and effectiveness, and population-level virologic suppression, would be associated with a reduction in new HIV infections. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsWe used San Francisco's HIV/AIDS surveillance system to examine the trends in CVL. Mean CVL was calculated as the mean of the most recent viral load of all reported HIV-positive individuals in a particular community. Total CVL was defined as the sum of the most recent viral loads of all HIV-positive individuals in a particular community. We used Poisson models with robust standard errors to assess the relationships between the mean and total CVL and the primary outcome: annual numbers of newly diagnosed HIV cases. Both mean and total CVL decreased from 2004-2008 and were accompanied by decreases in new HIV diagnoses from 798 (2004) to 434 (2008). The mean (p = 0.003) and total CVL (p = 0.002) were significantly associated with new HIV cases from 2004-2008. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Reductions in CVL are associated with decreased HIV infections. Results suggest that wide-scale ART could reduce HIV transmission at the population level. Because CVL is temporally upstream of new HIV infections, jurisdictions should consider adding CVL to routine HIV surveillance to track the epidemic, allocate resources, and to evaluate the effectiveness of HIV prevention and treatment efforts.

Indexed as

Viral LoadHIV InfectionsHumansPopulation SurveillanceSan Francisco

Identifiers

PMID20548786
PMCPMC2883572
OpenAlexW2080807877

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.