Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20501945›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of clinical investigation2010

A molecular classifier for predicting future graft loss in late kidney transplant biopsies.

Gunilla Einecke, Jeff Reeve, Banu Sis, Michael Mengel, Luis Hidalgo, Konrad S Famulski, Arthur Matas, Bert Kasiske, Bruce Kaplan, Philip F Halloran

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of clinical investigation, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 98 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
98citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
11.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

98 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 210 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Late Allograft Loss and Contemporary Cardiorenal Metabolic Therapies.Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN · 2025
    Review
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38 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Gunilla EineckeAlberta Transplant Applied Genomics Centre, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Jeff Reeve
Banu Sis
Michael Mengel
Luis Hidalgo
Konrad S Famulski
Arthur Matas
Bert Kasiske
Bruce Kaplan
Philip F Halloran
The Metabolomics Innovation Centre · CAGenomics (United Kingdom) · GBMetabolism and Renal Physiology · FRUniversity of Arizona · USUniversity of Minnesota · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Kidney transplant recipients that develop signs of renal dysfunction or proteinuria one or more years after transplantation are at considerable risk for progression to renal failure. To assess the kidney at this time, a "for-cause" biopsy is performed, but this provides little indication as to which recipients will go on to organ failure. In an attempt to identify molecules that could provide this information, we used microarrays to analyze gene expression in 105 for-cause biopsies taken between 1 and 31 years after transplantation. Using supervised principal components analysis, we derived a molecular classifier to predict graft loss. The genes associated with graft failure were related to tissue injury, epithelial dedifferentiation, matrix remodeling, and TGF-beta effects and showed little overlap with rejection-associated genes. We assigned a prognostic molecular risk score to each patient, identifying those at high or low risk for graft loss. The molecular risk score was correlated with interstitial fibrosis, tubular atrophy, tubulitis, interstitial inflammation, proteinuria, and glomerular filtration rate. In multivariate analysis, molecular risk score, peritubular capillary basement membrane multilayering, arteriolar hyalinosis, and proteinuria were independent predictors of graft loss. In an independent validation set, the molecular risk score was the only predictor of graft loss. Thus, the molecular risk score reflects active injury and is superior to either scarring or function in predicting graft failure.

Indexed as

ForecastingBiopsyCapillariesDisease ProgressionGlomerular Filtration RateGraft RejectionHumansKidneyKidney TransplantationProteinuriaRenal InsufficiencyTransforming Growth Factor betaTransforming Growth Factor beta

Identifiers

PMID20501945
PMCPMC2877953
OpenAlexW1979147243

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.