ArticleAmerican journal of public health2010
SimSmoke model evaluation of the effect of tobacco control policies in Korea: the unknown success story.
Article in American journal of public health, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Situation, Impacts, and Future Challenges of Tobacco Control Policies for Youth: An Explorative Systematic Policy Review.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2019Pooled it
- Geographical differences in the financial impacts of different forms of tobacco licence fees on small retailers in Scotland.Tobacco control · 2025Article
- Projecting the impact of implementation of WHO MPOWER measures on smoking prevalence and mortality in Japan.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Modeling the future of tobacco control: Using SimSmoke to explore the feasibility of the tobacco endgame in Korea.Tobacco induced diseases · 2023Article
- US Nicotine Vaping ProductInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- England SimSmoke: the impact of nicotine vaping on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths in England.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2021Article
- The Mexico SimSmoke tobacco control policy model: Development of a simulation model of daily and nondaily cigarette smoking.PloS one · 2021Article
- Trends in health behaviors over 20 years: findings from the 1998-2018 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.Epidemiology and health · 2021Article
- Cancer burden and trends in China: A review and comparison with Japan and South Korea.Chinese journal of cancer research = Chung-kuo yen cheng yen chiu · 2020Article
- Cigarette Smoking in South Korea: A Narrative Review.Korean journal of family medicine · 2020Article
- Positive Effects of the National Cigarette Price Increase Policy on Smoking Cessation in South Korea.Tuberculosis and respiratory diseases · 2020Article
- Tobacco control within and beyond WHO MPOWER: outcomes from Taiwan SimSmoke.Tobacco control · 2020Article
- Long-term trends in smoking prevalence and its socioeconomic inequalities in Korea, 1992-2016.International journal for equity in health · 2019Article
- Seven years of progress in tobacco control: an evaluation of the effect of nations meeting the highest level MPOWER measures between 2007 and 2014.Tobacco control · 2018Article
- Public health benefits from pictorial health warnings on US cigarette packs: a SimSmoke simulation.Tobacco control · 2017Article
- Mexico SimSmoke: how changes in tobacco control policies would impact smoking prevalence and smoking attributable deaths in Mexico.Global public health · 2017Article
- Characteristics of hardcore smokers in South Korea from 2007 to 2013.BMC public health · 2017Article
- Estimating the Potential Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Adverse Maternal and Child Health Outcomes in the United States Using the SimSmoke Tobacco Control Policy Simulation Model.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2016Article
- Gauging the Effect of U.S. Tobacco Control Policies From 1965 Through 2014 Using SimSmoke.American journal of preventive medicine · 2016Article
- Tobacco Policies in Louisiana: Recommendations for Future Tobacco Control Investment from SimSmoke, a Policy Simulation Model.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesWe evaluated the effect of strict tobacco control policies, implemented beginning in 1995 in the Republic of Korea, on smoking prevalence and deaths.
methodsSimSmoke is a simulation model of the effect of tobacco control policies over time on smoking initiation and cessation. It uses standard attribution methods to estimate lives saved as a result of new policies. After validating the model against smoking prevalence, we used it to determine the Korean policies' effect on smoking prevalence.
resultsThe model predicted smoking prevalence accurately between 1995 and 2006. We estimated that 70% of the 24% relative reduction in smoking rates over that period was attributable to tobacco control policies, mainly tax increases and a strong media campaign, and that the policies will prolong 104 812 male lives by the year 2027.
conclusionsOur results document Korea's success in reducing smoking prevalence and prolonging lives, which may serve as an example for other Asian nations. Further improvements may be possible with higher taxes and more comprehensive smoke-free laws, cessation policies, advertising restrictions, and health warnings.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.