Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20431040›Full record

Trial reportJournal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN2010

Long-term cancer risk of immunosuppressive regimens after kidney transplantation.

Martin P Gallagher, Patrick J Kelly, Meg Jardine, Vlado Perkovic, Alan Cass, Jonathan C Craig, Josette Eris, Angela C Webster

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 87 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
87citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
4.5field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

87 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 213 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Azathioprine and risk of non-melanoma skin cancers in organ transplant recipients: a systematic review and update meta-analysis.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Mepolizumab in the treatment of eosinophilic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2019
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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  5. Long-term safety of vedolizumab for inflammatory bowel disease.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2020
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27 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Martin P GallagherRenal Division, George Institute for International Health, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia. mgallagher@george.org.au
Patrick J Kelly
Meg Jardine
Vlado Perkovic
Alan Cass
Jonathan C Craig
Josette Eris
Angela C Webster
The George Institute for Global Health · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cancer is a widely recognized complication of transplantation, and the effects of various immunosuppressive drugs on cancer risk remains controversial. This randomized trial allocated 489 recipients of first cadaveric renal transplants to one of three groups: Azathioprine and prednisolone, cyclosporine monotherapy, or cyclosporine monotherapy followed by a switch to azathioprine and prednisolone after 3 months. Here, we report cancer outcomes by non-skin cancer (including melanoma) and skin cancer (excluding melanoma) for 481 patients during a median follow-up of 20.6 years. A total of 226 patients developed at least one cancer: 95 with non-skin cancer and 171 with skin cancer. In the intention-to-treat analysis, mean times to first non-skin cancer (16.0, 15.3, and 15.7 years for groups 1 through 3, respectively) and first skin cancer (13.6, 14.3, and 15.2 years, respectively) were not different among the three groups or between any subgroup. In multivariate analyses, non-skin cancer associated with increasing age and previous smoking history, whereas skin cancer associated with increasing age, nonbrown eye color, fairer skin, and a functioning transplant. Treatment allocation did not associate with development of either form of cancer in multivariate analyses. In conclusion, these immunosuppressive regimens, widely used in recent decades, carry similar risks for carcinogenicity after kidney transplantation.

Indexed as

Kidney TransplantationAdultFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansImmunosuppressive AgentsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisNeoplasmsProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsImmunosuppressive Agents

Identifiers

PMID20431040
PMCPMC2865745
OpenAlexW2113338130

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.