Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20405010›Full record

ArticlePloS one2010

The importance of age dependent mortality and the extrinsic incubation period in models of mosquito-borne disease transmission and control.

Steve E Bellan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed.

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  12. Migration rate estimation in an epidemic network.Applied mathematical modelling · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Age influences the thermal suitability ofProceedings. Biological sciences · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Steve E BellanDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America. sbellan@berkeley.edu

Funding

The ecology of environmentally maintained episodic anthrax in Esotha, NamibiaR01GM083863 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI GETZ, WAYNE M · 2008 to 2011
$1.7M
NIGMS NIH HHS GM083863NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM083863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nearly all mathematical models of vector-borne diseases have assumed that vectors die at constant rates. However, recent empirical research suggests that mosquito mortality rates are frequently age dependent. This work develops a simple mathematical model to assess how relaxing the classical assumption of constant mortality affects the predicted effectiveness of anti-vectorial interventions. The effectiveness of mosquito control when mosquitoes die at age dependent rates was also compared across different extrinsic incubation periods. Compared to a more realistic age dependent model, constant mortality models overestimated the sensitivity of disease transmission to interventions that reduce mosquito survival. Interventions that reduce mosquito survival were also found to be slightly less effective when implemented in systems with shorter EIPs. Future transmission models that examine anti-vectorial interventions should incorporate realistic age dependent mortality rates.

Indexed as

CulicidaeDisease Transmission, InfectiousModels, TheoreticalMosquito ControlAge FactorsAnimalsInsect VectorsModels, AnimalMortalitySurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID20405010
PMCPMC2854142

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.