ArticleAMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium2009
Impact of precautionary behaviors during outbreaks of pandemic influenza: modeling of regional differences.
Article in AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.
- State and citizen responsiveness in fighting a pandemic crisis: A systems thinking perspective.Systems research and behavioral science · 2022Article
- Transforming public health using value lens and extended partner networks.Learning health systems · 2021Article
- Life History Orientation Predicts COVID-19 Precautions and Projected Behaviors.Frontiers in psychology · 2020Article
- Simulating influenza pandemic dynamics with public risk communication and individual responsive behavior.Computational and mathematical organization theory · 2017Article
- A cloud-based simulation architecture for pandemic influenza simulation.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2011Article
- A neighborhood susceptibility index for planning of local physical interventions in response to pandemic influenza outbreaks.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2010Article
- Assumptions management in simulation of infectious disease outbreaks.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2009Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Using time geographic theory for representation of population mixing, we set out to analyze the relative impact from precautionary behaviors on outbreaks of pandemic influenza in Europe and Asia. We extended an existing simulator environment with behavioral parameters from a population survey to model different behaviors. We found that precautionary behaviors even among a minority of the population can have a decisive effect on the probability of the outbreak to propagate. The results also display that assumptions strongly influences the outcome. Depending on the interpretation of how many "children" are kept from "school", R(0) changes from a range where outbreak progression is possible to a range where it is improbable in both European (R(0)=1.77/1.23) and Asian (R(0)=1.70/1.05) conditions. We conclude that unprompted distancing can have a decisive effect on pandemic propagation. An important response strategy can be to promote voluntary precautionary behavior shown to reduce disease transmission.
Indexed as
Identifiers
20351842PMC2815480W1846121885What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.