ArticleInternational journal of public health2010
San Antonio heart study diabetes prediction model applicable to a Middle Eastern population? Tehran glucose and lipid study.
Article in International journal of public health, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.
- Risk models and scores for type 2 diabetes: systematic review.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2011Pooled it
- Approaches to predict future type 2 diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease: A scoping review.PloS one · 2025Article
- External validation of the American prediction model for incident type 2 diabetes in the Iranian population.BMC medical research methodology · 2023Article
- PARS risk charts: A 10-year study of risk assessment for cardiovascular diseases in Eastern Mediterranean Region.PloS one · 2017Article
- Survival Regression Modeling Strategies in CVD Prediction.International journal of endocrinology and metabolism · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesTo assess the validity of the San Antonio heart study (SAHS) diabetes prediction model in a large representative Iranian population.
methodsA risk function derived from data in the SAHS to predict the 7.5-year risk of diabetes, was tested for its ability to predict incident diabetes in 3,242 individuals aged >or=20 years. The performance or ability to accurately predict diabetes risk, of the SAHS function compared with the performance of risk functions developed specifically from the Tehran lipid and glucose study. Comparisons included goodness of fit, discrimination, and calibration.
resultsThe participants were followed for 6.3 years. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AROC) for diabetes of SAHS model was 0.83 (95% CI 0.80-0.86). The model overestimated the risk of diabetes in TLGS population with the overall bias of 111%. After the recalibration, the model-predicted probability agreed well with the actual observed 6-year risk of diabetes. DISCUSSION AND
conclusionThe American SAHS was a prediction model for diabetes with good discrimination in an Iranian target population after calibration.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.