Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20181060›Full record

ArticleGenome medicine2010

Multi-locus models of genetic risk of disease.

Naomi R Wray, Michael E Goddard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genome medicine, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Neuropsychiatry genetics in Africa.Nature communications · 2026
    Review
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Mutation-selection-drift balance models of complex diseases.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Genetic and modifiable risk factors combine multiplicatively in common disease.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Journal of psychiatry & neuroscience : JPN · 2020
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Genetic Risk Scores.Current protocols in human genetics · 2019
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Naomi R WrayGenetic Epidemiology and, Queensland Institute of Medical Research, Herston Road, Brisbane, Queensland 4006, Australia. naomi.wray@qimr.edu.au.
Michael E Goddard

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEvidence for genetic contribution to complex diseases is described by recurrence risks to relatives of diseased individuals. Genome-wide association studies allow a description of the genetics of the same diseases in terms of risk loci, their effects and allele frequencies. To reconcile the two descriptions requires a model of how risks from individual loci combine to determine an individual's overall risk.

methodsWe derive predictions of risk to relatives from risks at individual loci under a number of models and compare them with published data on disease risk.

resultsThe model in which risks are multiplicative on the risk scale implies equality between the recurrence risk to monozygotic twins and the square of the recurrence risk to sibs, a relationship often not observed, especially for low prevalence diseases. We show that this theoretical equality is achieved by allowing impossible probabilities of disease. Other models, in which probabilities of disease are constrained to a maximum of one, generate results more consistent with empirical estimates for a range of diseases.

conclusionsThe unconstrained multiplicative model, often used in theoretical studies because of its mathematical tractability, is not a realistic model. We find three models, the constrained multiplicative, Odds (or Logit) and Probit (or liability threshold) models, all fit the data on risk to relatives. Currently, in practice it would be difficult to differentiate between these models, but this may become possible if genetic variants that explain the majority of the genetic variance are identified.

Identifiers

PMID20181060
PMCPMC2847701

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.