Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20122286›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2010

Regression tree construction by bootstrap: model search for DRG-systems applied to Austrian health-data.

Thomas Grubinger, Conrad Kobel, Karl-Peter Pfeiffer

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. DRG grouping by machine learning: from expert-oriented to data-based method.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2021
    Article
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  10. Reducing the Risk of Upcoding in DRG Grouping Through a Two-Stage DRG Grouper Based on Machine Learning.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financing
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Thomas GrubingerDepartment of Medical Statistics, Informatics and Health Economics, Innsbruck Medical University, Schoepfstrasse 41/1, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria. thomas.grubinger@i-med.ac.at
Conrad Kobel
Karl-Peter Pfeiffer

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDRG-systems are used to allocate resources fairly to hospitals based on their performance. Statistically, this allocation is based on simple rules that can be modeled with regression trees. However, the resulting models often have to be adjusted manually to be medically reasonable and ethical.

methodsDespite the possibility of manual, performance degenerating adaptations of the original model, alternative trees are systematically searched. The bootstrap-based method bumping is used to build diverse and accurate regression tree models for DRG-systems. A two-step model selection approach is proposed. First, a reasonable model complexity is chosen, based on statistical, medical and economical considerations. Second, a medically meaningful and accurate model is selected. An analysis of 8 data-sets from Austrian DRG-data is conducted and evaluated based on the possibility to produce diverse and accurate models for predefined tree complexities.

resultsThe best bootstrap-based trees offer increased predictive accuracy compared to the trees built by the CART algorithm. The analysis demonstrates that even for very small tree sizes, diverse models can be constructed being equally or even more accurate than the single model built by the standard CART algorithm.

conclusionsBumping is a powerful tool to construct diverse and accurate regression trees, to be used as candidate models for DRG-systems. Furthermore, Bumping and the proposed model selection approach are also applicable to other medical decision and prognosis tasks.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsData Interpretation, StatisticalDecision TreesDiagnosis-Related GroupsInformation SystemsAustriaDecision Support TechniquesHumansRegression Analysis

Identifiers

PMID20122286
PMCPMC2828419

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.