Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20102581›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health : a global access science source2009

Space-time clustering analyses of type 1 diabetes in children from north-east England: support for an infectious aetiology?

Richard J Q McNally, Raymond Pollock, Simon Court, Mike Begon, Tim D Cheetham

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Article in Environmental health : a global access science source, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

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6citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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  6. A synopsis of the Joint Environment and Human Health Programme in the UK.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2009
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Richard J Q McNallyInstitute of Health and Society, Newcastle University, UK. Richard.McNally@ncl.ac.uk.
Raymond Pollock
Simon Court
Mike Begon
Tim D Cheetham

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research CouncilMedical Research CouncilWellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aetiology of type 1 diabetes in children is uncertain. A number of recent studies have suggested an infectious aetiology. It has been postulated that an infectious agent may be involved. Support for this hypothesis may be provided by a finding of space-time clustering. The aims of this study were: (i) to determine whether there was space-time clustering in cases of childhood diabetes from north-east England; and to test for differences in space-time clustering: (ii) due to age at diagnosis; (iii) between the sexes and (iv) between levels of residential population density.

methodsWe studied incidence of type 1 diabetes diagnosed in children aged 0-14 years and diagnosed during the period 1990-2007. All cases were resident in a defined geographical region of north-east England (Northumberland, Newcastle upon Tyne and North Tyneside). We applied a second-order procedure based on K-functions to test for global clustering. Locations were residential addresses at time of diagnosis. Tests were repeated using nearest neighbour thresholds to allow for variable population density, providing the primary result for each analysis. Differences between sexes and between levels of population density were assessed.

resultsWe analysed 457 cases of type 1 diabetes. Overall, there was marginally significant evidence of global space-time clustering (P = 0.089). There was statistically significant clustering amongst pairs of cases that contained at least one female (P = 0.017), but not amongst pairs of cases that contained at least one male (P = 0.190). Furthermore, there was significant clustering amongst pairs of cases that contained at least one from a more densely populated area (P = 0.044), but not amongst pairs of cases that contained at least one from a less densely populated area (P = 0.226).

conclusionAlthough the analyses have only found marginally significant evidence of global space-time clustering for cases of type 1 diabetes diagnosed in north-east England, there were two notable findings. First, there was evidence of clustering amongst females and secondly clustering was confined to cases from more densely populated areas. These findings are consistent with a possible aetiological involvement of an infectious agent.

Indexed as

AdolescentChildChild, PreschoolDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1EnglandFemaleGeographyHumansInfantInfant, NewbornInfectionsMalePopulation DensitySex FactorsSpace-Time ClusteringVirus Diseases

Identifiers

PMID20102581
PMCPMC2796492

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.