ArticleCirculation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes2009
Trends in 10-year predicted risk of cardiovascular disease in the United States, 1976 to 2004.
Article in Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed, 68 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Gender differences in the association between weight-adjusted waist index and migraine: A cross-sectional study.PloS one · 2025Article
- Prevalence of and trends in hyperuricemia by race and ethnicity among US adolescents, 1999-2018.Arthritis research & therapy · 2024Article
- Coronary artery disease severity and risk stratification of patients with non ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome using CHABMC cardiovascular disorders · 2024Article
- Trends and disparities in prevalence of cardiometabolic diseases by food security status in the United States.Nutrition journal · 2024Article
- Association of poverty-income ratio with cardiovascular disease and mortality in cancer survivors in the United States.PloS one · 2024Article
- Association between weight-adjusted-waist index and risk of cardiovascular diseases in United States adults: a cross-sectional study.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2023Article
- Association of Urinary Strontium with Cardiovascular Disease Among the US Adults: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.Biological trace element research · 2023Article
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- Renal Function Mediates the Association Between Klotho and Congestive Heart Failure Among Middle-Aged and Older Individuals.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Article
- Trends in Cardiovascular Disease Prevalence by Income Level in the United States.JAMA network open · 2020Article
- Sedentary lifestyle and Framingham risk scores: a population-based study in Riyadh city, Saudi Arabia.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2019Article
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- Early Diagnosis of Cardiovascular Diseases in Workers: Role of Standard and Advanced Echocardiography.BioMed research international · 2018Review
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- CHA2DS2-VASc-HS score in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome patients: assessment of coronary artery disease severity and complexity and comparison to other scoring systems in the prediction of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events.Anatolian journal of cardiology · 2016Article
- Trends in major risk factors for cardiovascular disease among adults in the Mississippi Delta region, Mississippi Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2001-2010.Preventing chronic disease · 2015Article
- Predicted 10-year risk of developing cardiovascular disease at the state level in the U.S.American journal of preventive medicine · 2015Article
- Challenges of ascertaining national trends in the incidence of coronary heart disease in the United States.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2014Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThere have been significant bidirectional changes in the prevalence of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors over time in the United States, making the net trend in risk for incident CV disease unknown. We assessed these trends by applying the Framingham Heart Study prediction model to national data. METHODS AND
resultsThe National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) II (1976-1980), NHANES III (1988-1994), and NHANES 1999-2004 are cross-sectional representative samples of the noninstitutionalized population of the United States. We excluded people with a history of CV disease, pregnant women, participants with missing CV risk factors data, and individuals outside the Framingham age range of 30 to 74 years. The Framingham risk function was used to estimate the 10-year risk for incident symptomatic CV disease. We calculated the slope of change or rate of change per year between NHANES II and III, and between NHANES III and 1999-2004. The difference between slopes was calculated and compared to zero. The average age-adjusted 10-year CV risk between NHANES II and III decreased from 10.0% to 7.9% between NHANES II and III, with a statistically significant slope (P<0.001). However, the average age-adjusted CV risk decreased at a lesser magnitude between NHANES III and NHANES 1999-2004 from 7.9% to 7.4% (P<0.001). These slopes were significantly different (P<0.0001). In women and middle-aged participants, CV risk did not change between NHANES III and NHANES 1999-2004 (P=0.40).
conclusionsThe estimated net risk for CV disease in the US population decreased from 1976-1980 to 1988-1994 but has changed minimally from 1988-1994 to 1999-2004, particularly in women and middle-aged people.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.