Evidence map›Paper›PMID 20019322›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of public health2010

Estimating the risks and benefits of nicotine replacement therapy for smoking cessation in the United States.

Benjamin J Apelberg, Georgiana Onicescu, Erika Avila-Tang, Jonathan M Samet

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of public health, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Experiences of women with cervical dysplasia and associated diagnoses using electronic cigarettes for smoking substitution.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2019
    Article
  6. Stillbirth Among Women Prescribed Nicotine Replacement Therapy in Pregnancy: Analysis of a Large UK Pregnancy Cohort.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2019
    Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Nicotine aggravates the brain postischemic inflammatory response.American journal of physiology. Heart and circulatory physiology · 2011
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Benjamin J ApelbergInstitute for Global Tobacco Control, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA. bapelber@jhsph.edu
Georgiana Onicescu
Erika Avila-Tang
Jonathan M Samet

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo compare potential population-wide benefits and risks, we examined the potential impact of increased nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) use for smoking cessation on future US mortality.

methodsWe developed a simulation model incorporating a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis, with data from the 2005 National Health Interview Survey and Cancer Prevention Study II. We estimated the number of avoided premature deaths from smoking attributable to increased NRT use, before and after incorporating assumptions about NRT harm.

resultsWe estimate that a gradual increase in the proportion of NRT-aided quit attempts to 100% by 2025 would lead to 40,000 (95% credible interval=31,000, 50,000) premature deaths avoided over a 20-year period. Most avoided deaths would be attributable to lung cancer and cardiovascular disease. After we incorporated assumptions about potential risk from long-term NRT, the estimate of avoided premature deaths from all causes declined to 32 000.

conclusionsEven after we assumed some harm from long-term NRT use, the benefits from increased cessation success far outweigh the risks. However, the projected reduction in premature mortality still reflects a small portion of the tobacco-related deaths expected over a 20-year period.

Indexed as

Smoking CessationSmoking PreventionComputer SimulationCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansMonte Carlo MethodNicotineRiskSmokingTobacco, SmokelessUnited StatesNicotine

Identifiers

PMID20019322
PMCPMC2804631

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.