ArticleAmerican journal of public health2009
Forecasting the future economic burden of current adolescent overweight: an estimate of the coronary heart disease policy model.
Article in American journal of public health, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03288207 (Tailoring Mobile Health Technology to Reduce Obesity and Improve Cardiovascular Health in Resource-Limited Neighborhood Environments), which is not on this map. Cited by 44 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Tailoring Mobile Health Technology to Reduce Obesity and Improve Cardiovascular Health in Resource-Limited Neighborhood Environments: A Multi-Level, Community-Based Physical Activity Intervention
Who cites it
44 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Economic burden of childhood overweight and obesity: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2023Pooled it
- Modeling obesity in complex food systems: Systematic review.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2022Pooled it
- Productivity loss due to overweight and obesity: a systematic review of indirect costs.BMJ open · 2017Pooled it
- A Smartphone-Based Model of Care to Support Patients With Cardiac Disease Transitioning From Hospital to the Community (TeleClinical Care): Pilot Randomized Controlled Trial.JMIR mHealth and uHealth · 2022Trial
- A randomized controlled trial to prevent childhood obesity through early childhood feeding and parenting guidance: rationale and design of study.BMC public health · 2013Trial
- A Longitudinal Cohort Study of the Costs of Adolescent Obesity Into Young Adulthood.Obesity science & practice · 2026Article
- Methodological considerations for estimating indirect costs in children and adolescents with chronic conditions: a scoping review.BMC pediatrics · 2025Article
- The effect of different intensity physical activity on cardiovascular metabolic health in obese children and adolescents: An isotemporal substitution model.Frontiers in physiology · 2023Article
- Health Economic Aspects of Childhood Excess Weight: A Structured Review.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Review
- Participatory design application in obesity prevention targeting young adults and adolescents: a mixed-methods systematic scoping review protocol.Systematic reviews · 2022Article
- Obesity Increases In-Hospital Mortality of Acute Type A Aortic Dissection Patients Undergoing Open Surgical Repair: A Retrospective Study in the Chinese Population.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Article
- Characteristics of achieving clinically important weight loss in two paediatric weight management interventions.Pediatric obesity · 2021Article
- Design and Approach of the Healthy Weight Clinic Pediatric Weight Management Intervention Package and Implementation: Massachusetts-CORD 3.0.Childhood obesity (Print) · 2021Article
- Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2021 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association.Circulation · 2021Article
- Energy imbalance: obesity, associated comorbidities, prevention, management and public health implications.Advances in obesity, weight management & control · 2020Article
- Article
- Forecasting the demand for radiology services.Health systems (Basingstoke, England) · 2018Article
- Enhancing Childhood Multidisciplinary Obesity Treatments: The Power of Self-Control Abilities as Intervention Facilitator.Frontiers in psychology · 2018Article
- Cardiometabolic risk in obese children.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2018Review
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesWe predicted the future economic burden attributable to high rates of current adolescent overweight.
methodsWe constructed models to simulate the costs of excess obesity and associated diabetes and coronary heart disease (CHD) among adults aged 35-64 years in the US population in 2020 to 2050.
resultsCurrent adolescent overweight is projected to result in 161 million life-years complicated by obesity, diabetes, or CHD and 1.5 million life-years lost. The cumulative excess attributable total costs are estimated at $254 billion: $208 billion because of lost productivity from earlier death or morbidity and $46 billion from direct medical costs. Currently available therapies for hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes, used according to guidelines, if applied in the future, would result in modest reductions in excess mortality (decreased to 1.1 million life-years lost) but increase total excess costs by another $7 billion (increased to $261 billion total).
conclusionsCurrent adolescent overweight will likely lead to large future economic and health burdens, especially lost productivity from premature death and disability. Application of currently available medical treatments will not greatly reduce these future burdens of increased adult obesity.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.