Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19784612›Full record

ReviewDie Naturwissenschaften2009

The predictability of evolution: glimpses into a post-Darwinian world.

Simon Conway Morris

Abstract readBiographyHistorical ArticleReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Die Naturwissenschaften, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. The topology of evolutionary novelty and innovation in macroevolution.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017
    Review
  5. Evolution of central pattern generators and rhythmic behaviours.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2016
    Review
  6. An empirical test of convergent evolution in rhodopsins.Molecular biology and evolution · 2014
    Article
  7. Relocating the active-site lysine in rhodopsin and implications for evolution of retinylidene proteins.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2013
    Article
  8. Widespread recurrent evolution of genomic features.Genome biology and evolution · 2012
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Simon Conway MorrisDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EQ, UK. sc113@cam.ac.uk

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The very success of the Darwinian explanation, in not only demonstrating evolution from multiple lines of evidence but also in providing some plausible explanations, paradoxically seems to have served to have stifled explorations into other areas of investigation. The fact of evolution is now almost universally yoked to the assumption that its outcomes are random, trends are little more than drunkard's walks, and most evolutionary products are masterpieces of improvisation and far from perfect. But is this correct? Let us consider some alternatives. Is there evidence that evolution could in anyway be predictable? Can we identify alternative forms of biological organizations and if so how viable are they? Why are some molecules so extraordinarily versatile, while others can be spoken of as "molecules of choice"? How fortuitous are the major transitions in the history of life? What implications might this have for the Tree of Life? To what extent is evolutionary diversification constrained or facilitated by prior states? Are evolutionary outcomes merely sufficient or alternatively are they highly efficient, even superb? Here I argue that in sharp contradistinction to an orthodox Darwinian view, not only is evolution much more predictable than generally assumed but also investigation of its organizational substrates, including those of sensory systems, which indicates that it is possible to identify a predictability to the process and outcomes of evolution. If correct, the implications may be of some significance, not least in separating the unexceptional Darwinian mechanisms from underlying organizational principles, which may indicate evolutionary inevitabilities.

Indexed as

Biological EvolutionLifeAnimalsCaudataDinoflagellidaEcholocationEcosystemForecastingHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHumansIntestinesPolychaetaRanidaeReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.