Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19745690›Full record

ArticleMedicine2009

Clinical risk stratification in the emergency department predicts long-term cardiovascular outcomes in a population-based cohort presenting with acute chest pain: primary results of the Olmsted county chest pain study.

Michael E Farkouh, Ashish Aneja, Guy S Reeder, Peter A Smars, Sameer Bansilal, Ryan J Lennon, Heather J Wiste, Louai Razzouk, Kay Traverse, David R Holmes and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Medicine, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  4. Observational
  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Michael E FarkouhFrom Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine (GSR, DRH, VM), Division of Emergency Medical Services and Internal Medicine (PAS), Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics (RJL, HJW), and Section of Health Services Evaluation (KT), Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Mayo Clinic and Foundation, Rochester, Minnesota; and Mount Sinai School of Medicine Cardiovascular Institute (MEF, AA, SB, LR), New York, New York.
Ashish Aneja
Guy S Reeder
Peter A Smars
Sameer Bansilal
Ryan J Lennon
Heather J Wiste
Louai Razzouk
Kay Traverse
David R Holmes
Verghese Mathew
Mayo Clinic · US

Funding

ROCHESTER EPIDEMIOLOGY PROJECTR01AR030582 · NIAMS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROCCA, WALTER A · 1986 to 2009
$5.1M
NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR030582NIAMS NIH HHS R01-AR30582
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The long-term cardiovascular outcomes of a population-based cohort presenting to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain and classified with a clinical risk stratification algorithm are not well documented. The Olmsted County Chest Pain Study is a community-based study that included all consecutive patients presenting with chest pain consistent with unstable angina presenting to all EDs in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Patients were classified according to the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) criteria. Patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction and chest pain of noncardiac origin were excluded. Main outcome measures were major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) at 30 days and at a median follow-up of 7.3 years, and mortality through a median of 16.6 years.The 2271 patients were classified as follows: 436 (19.2%) as high risk, 1557 (68.6%) as intermediate risk, and 278 (12.2%) as low risk. Thirty-day MACCE occurred in 11.5% in the high-risk group, 6.2% in the intermediate-risk group, and 2.5% in the low-risk group (p < 0.001). At 7.3 years, significantly more MACCE were recorded in the intermediate-risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.91; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.33-2.75) and high-risk groups (HR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.67-3.58). Intermediate- and high-risk patients demonstrated a 1.38-fold (95% CI, 0.95-2.01; p = 0.09) and a 1.68-fold (95% CI, 1.13-2.50; p = 0.011) higher mortality, respectively, compared to low-risk patients at 16.6 years. At 7.3 and at 16.6 years of follow-up, biomarkers were not incrementally predictive of cardiovascular risk.In conclusion, a widely applicable rapid clinical algorithm using AHCPR criteria can reliably predict long-term mortality and cardiovascular outcomes. This algorithm, when applied in the ED, affords an excellent opportunity to identify patients who might benefit from a more aggressive cardiovascular risk factor management strategy.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAlgorithmsAngina, UnstableCardiovascular DiseasesChest PainCohort StudiesConfidence IntervalsEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHealth Status IndicatorsHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMinnesota

Identifiers

PMID19745690
PMCPMC3845366
OpenAlexW2036476099

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.