Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19733140›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology2009

A projection of benefits due to fecal occult blood test for colorectal cancer.

Dongfeng Wu, Diane Erwin, Gary L Rosner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Dongfeng WuDepartment of Bioinformatics and Biostatistics, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40202, USA. dongfeng.wu@louisville.edu
Diane Erwin
Gary L Rosner

Funding

Statistical Inference for Lead Time in Cancer ScreeningR03CA115012 · NCI · MISSISSIPPI STATE UNIVERSITY · PI WU, DONGFENG · 2005 to 2006
$136k
NCI NIH HHS CA-115012NCI NIH HHS R03 CA115012
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesA prospective study to estimate benefits due to fecal occult blood tests for colorectal cancer are carried out for both males and females, under different screening frequencies.

methodsWe apply the statistical method developed by Wu et al. (2007) [1] using the Minnesota colorectal cancer study group data, to make Bayesian inference for the lead time, the time of diagnosis advanced by screening for both male and female participants in a periodic screening program. The lead time is distributed as a mixture of a point mass at zero and a piecewise continuous distribution. The two parts of the mixture correspond to two aspects of the screening: the probability of no benefit, or the percentage of interval cases; and the probability distribution of the early diagnosis time. We present estimates of these two measures for males and females by simulation studies using the Minnesota study group data. We also provide the mean, mode, variance, and density curve of the program's lead time by gender. This may provide policy makers important information on the effectiveness of the FOBT screening in colorectal cancer early detection.

resultsThe mean lead time increases as the screening time interval decreases for both males and females. The standard error of the lead time also increases as the screening time interval decreases for both genders. Females seem get more benefit than males, in that females usually have a longer lead time than males if both take the test at the same time interval and the lead time mode for females is greater than that of males in the same screening time interval.

conclusionAccording to the predictive estimation of the lead time distribution, to guarantee a 90% chance of early detection, it seems necessary for the males to take the fecal occult blood test every 9 months, while the females can take it annually.

Indexed as

Occult BloodAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHealth PolicyHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedSex FactorsTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID19733140
PMCPMC2763026

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.