Trial reportDiabetes care2009
Regression from pre-diabetes to normal glucose regulation in the diabetes prevention program.
Trial report in Diabetes care, 2009. The graph read 1 number from its abstract, feeding 1 cell of the map, but none could be read as for or against, so it casts no vote. Cited by 98 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
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RESULTS: Lower baseline fasting (hazard ratio 1.52, P < 0.01) and 2-h (1.24, P < 0.01) glucose predicted regression to NGR, as did younger age (1.07, P < 0.01) and greater insulin secretion (1.09, P = 0.04).
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Where it lands on the map
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What it adds to each cell
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Insulin×glycemic control
No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →40 readable studies in this cell: 15 favour the treatment, 14 find no difference, 12 favour the comparator.
This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
98 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 209 citations in OpenAlex.
- Efficacy of lifestyle weight loss interventions on regression to normoglycemia and progression to type 2 diabetes in individuals with prediabetes: a systematic review and pairwise and dose-response meta-analyses.The American journal of clinical nutrition · 2024Pooled it
- Interventions for Reversing Prediabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.American journal of preventive medicine · 2022 · on this mapPooled it
- Metformin for prevention or delay of type 2 diabetes mellitus and its associated complications in persons at increased risk for the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2019 · on this mapPooled it
- Combined Diet and Physical Activity Promotion Programs to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes Among Persons at Increased Risk: A Systematic Review for the Community Preventive Services Task Force.Annals of internal medicine · 2015Pooled it
- Diagnosis and treatment of polycystic ovary syndrome: an Endocrine Society clinical practice guideline.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2013 · on this mapGuideline
- Predicting Factors for Metabolic Non-Response to a Complex Lifestyle Intervention-A Replication Analysis to a Randomized-Controlled Trial.Nutrients · 2022Trial
- Outcome of lifestyle intervention in relation to duration of pre-diabetes: the Pathobiology and Reversibility of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (PROP-ABC) study.BMJ open diabetes research & care · 2022Trial
- Type 2 Diabetes Prevention Focused on Normalization of Glycemia: A Two-Year Pilot Study.Nutrients · 2021Trial
- Reversal of Prediabetes in Saudi Adults: Results from an 18 Month Lifestyle Intervention.Nutrients · 2020Trial
- Fructose Consumption Contributes to Hyperinsulinemia in Adolescents With Obesity Through a GLP-1-Mediated Mechanism.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2019Trial
- Regression to Normal Glucose Regulation in American Indians and Alaska Natives of a Diabetes Prevention Program.Diabetes care · 2019 · on this mapTrial
- Exploring residual risk for diabetes and microvascular disease in the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS).Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2017 · on this mapTrial
- Early response to preventive strategies in the Diabetes Prevention Program.Journal of general internal medicine · 2013Trial
- Benefits of liraglutide treatment in overweight and obese older individuals with prediabetes.Diabetes care · 2013Trial
- Effect of regression from prediabetes to normal glucose regulation on long-term reduction in diabetes risk: results from the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study.Lancet (London, England) · 2012Trial
- Dietary weight loss and exercise effects on insulin resistance in postmenopausal women.American journal of preventive medicine · 2011Trial
- Trial
- Type 2 diabetes prevention across the life course.Nature medicine · 2026Review
- Prognostic stratification of cardiovascular risk and cardiac remodeling in prediabetes: a multimodal analysis comparing ADA and WHO/IEC diagnostic criteria.Cardiovascular diabetology · 2026Observational
- Article
38 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.
objectiveParticipants in the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) randomized to intensive lifestyle modification (ILS) or metformin had a significantly reduced incidence of diabetes compared with those randomized to placebo, yet most were still at risk because they had pre-diabetes. We explored the effect of baseline characteristics, weight change, ILS, and metformin on regression from pre-diabetes to the lowest-risk state of normal glucose regulation (NGR) defined by American Diabetes Association criteria. RESEARCH DESIGN AND
methodsThe DPP was a prospective randomized trial. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to identify predictors of regression from pre-diabetes to NGR over 3 years of follow-up.
resultsLower baseline fasting (hazard ratio 1.52, P < 0.01) and 2-h (1.24, P < 0.01) glucose predicted regression to NGR, as did younger age (1.07, P < 0.01) and greater insulin secretion (1.09, P = 0.04). ILS (2.05, P < 0.01) and weight loss (1.34, P < 0.01) had significant and independent effects on regression. A nonsignificant trend for regression was also observed for metformin (1.25, P = 0.06), male sex (1.17, P = 0.08), and insulin sensitivity (1.07, P = 0.09). In those entering the study with both impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), male sex and insulin sensitivity predicted regression to isolated IFG, whereas ILS, metformin, female sex, and greater insulin secretion predicted regression to isolated IGT.
conclusionsInsulin secretion, and other biologic processes retained with younger age, are key in restoring NGR in people with pre-diabetes. However, NGR may also be attained through weight loss and additional aspects of ILS.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.