Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19553267›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2009

Analysis of cost effectiveness of screening Danish men aged 65 for abdominal aortic aneurysm.

Lars Ehlers, Kim Overvad, Jan Sørensen, Søren Christensen, Merete Bech, Mette Kjølby

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Letter to Editor.Medicine, health care, and philosophy · 2020
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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  9. Article
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  11. Review
  12. Vascular disease: is AAA screening worth the cost?Nature reviews. Cardiology · 2009
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Lars EhlersInstitute of Public Health, Aarhus University, Vennelyst Boulevard 6, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark. le@folkesundhed.au.dk
Kim Overvad
Jan Sørensen
Søren Christensen
Merete Bech
Mette Kjølby

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the cost effectiveness of screening men aged 65 for abdominal aortic aneurysm.

designCost effectiveness analysis based on a probabilistic, enhanced economic decision analytical model from screening to death. POPULATION AND

settingHypothetical population of men aged 65 invited (or not invited) for ultrasound screening in the Danish healthcare system. DATA SOURCES: Published results from randomised trials and observational epidemiological studies retrieved from electronic bibliographic databases, and supplementary data obtained from the Danish Vascular Registry. DATA SYNTHESIS: A hybrid decision tree and Markov model was developed to simulate the short term and long term effects of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm compared with no systematic screening on clinical and cost effectiveness outcomes. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses using Monte Carlo simulation were carried out. Results were presented in a cost effectiveness acceptability curve, an expected value of perfect information curve, and a curve showing the expected (net) number of avoided deaths from abdominal aortic aneurysm over time after the introduction of screening. The model was validated by calibrating base case health outcomes and expected activity levels against evidence from the recent Cochrane review of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm.

resultsThe estimated costs per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained discounted at 3% per year over a lifetime for costs and QALYs was pound43 485 (euro54,852; $71,160). At a willingness to pay threshold of pound30,000 the probability of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm being cost effective was less than 30%. One way sensitivity analyses showed the incremental cost effectiveness ratio varying from pound32,640 to pound66,001 per QALY.

conclusionScreening for abdominal aortic aneurysm does not seem to be cost effective. Further research is needed on long term quality of life outcomes and costs.

Indexed as

AgedAortic Aneurysm, AbdominalAortic RuptureCost-Benefit AnalysisDenmarkHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMass ScreeningQuality-Adjusted Life YearsQuality of LifeUltrasonography

Identifiers

PMID19553267
PMCPMC3272654

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.