Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19503614›Full record

ArticlePloS one2009

Failure to replicate a genetic association may provide important clues about genetic architecture.

Casey S Greene, Nadia M Penrod, Scott M Williams, Jason H Moore

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 142 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
142citing papers in PubMed, 11 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

142 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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82 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Casey S GreeneDepartment of Genetics, Dartmouth College, Lebanon, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Nadia M Penrod
Scott M Williams
Jason H Moore

Funding

VARIATION IN BIOACCUMULATION AND BIOMAGNIFICATION OF METALS IN NORTHERN US LAKESP42ES007373 · NIEHS · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI STANTON, BRUCE A. · 1995 to 2019
$52.0M
Bioinformatics Strategies: Biodefense Vaccine ResearchR01AI059694 · NIAID · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI MOORE, JASON H. · 2004 to 2012
$4.5M
Machine Learning Prediction of Cancer SusceptibilityR01LM009012 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI MOORE, JASON H. · 2006 to 2014
$3.3M
Genetics Basis of Trauma RecoveryR01HD047447 · NICHD · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI MOORE, JASON H. · 2005 to 2009
$1.8M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI059694NIAID NIH HHS R01-AI59694NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD047447NICHD NIH HHS R01-HD047447NIEHS NIH HHS P42 ES007373NIEHS NIH HHS R01-ES007373NLM NIH HHS R01 LM009012NLM NIH HHS R01-LM009012
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Replication has become the gold standard for assessing statistical results from genome-wide association studies. Unfortunately this replication requirement may cause real genetic effects to be missed. A real result can fail to replicate for numerous reasons including inadequate sample size or variability in phenotype definitions across independent samples. In genome-wide association studies the allele frequencies of polymorphisms may differ due to sampling error or population differences. We hypothesize that some statistically significant independent genetic effects may fail to replicate in an independent dataset when allele frequencies differ and the functional polymorphism interacts with one or more other functional polymorphisms. To test this hypothesis, we designed a simulation study in which case-control status was determined by two interacting polymorphisms with heritabilities ranging from 0.025 to 0.4 with replication sample sizes ranging from 400 to 1600 individuals. We show that the power to replicate the statistically significant independent main effect of one polymorphism can drop dramatically with a change of allele frequency of less than 0.1 at a second interacting polymorphism. We also show that differences in allele frequency can result in a reversal of allelic effects where a protective allele becomes a risk factor in replication studies. These results suggest that failure to replicate an independent genetic effect may provide important clues about the complexity of the underlying genetic architecture. We recommend that polymorphisms that fail to replicate be checked for interactions with other polymorphisms, particularly when samples are collected from groups with distinct ethnic backgrounds or different geographic regions.

Indexed as

GenomeGenome-Wide Association StudyModels, GeneticAllelesCase-Control StudiesComputer SimulationEpistasis, GeneticEthnicityGene FrequencyGeographyHumansPhenotypePolymorphism, GeneticRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID19503614
PMCPMC2685469

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.