Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19487644›Full record

ArticleDiabetes care2009

Incident dysglycemia and progression to type 1 diabetes among participants in the Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1.

Jay M Sosenko, Jerry P Palmer, Lisa Rafkin-Mervis, Jeffrey P Krischer, David Cuthbertson, Jeffery Mahon, Carla J Greenbaum, Catherine C Cowie, Jay S Skyler, Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 Study Group

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes care, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 74 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. REDEFINING AUTOIMMUNE DISEASES: THE OPPORTUNITY FOR PRECISION AND PREVENTION.Transactions of the American Clinical and Climatological Association · 2025
    Review
  12. Postprandial Plasma Glucose.Clinical diabetes : a publication of the American Diabetes Association · 2025
    Review
  13. Time to reframe the disease staging system for type 1 diabetes.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2024
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Plasma Glucose.Clinical diabetes : a publication of the American Diabetes Association · 2024
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Jay M SosenkoDivision of Endocrinology, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, USA. jsosenko@med.miami.edu
Jerry P Palmer
Lisa Rafkin-Mervis
Jeffrey P Krischer
David Cuthbertson
Jeffery Mahon
Carla J Greenbaum
Catherine C Cowie
Jay S Skyler
Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 Study Group
University of Miami · USUniversity of South Florida · USNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases · USUniversity of Washington · USVirginia Mason Medical Center · USWestern University · CA

Funding

Data Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet (UC4)USF: TrialNet UC4-3UC4DK117009 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2017 to 2019
$49.6M
NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK117009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe studied the incidence of dysglycemia and its prediction of the development of type 1 diabetes in islet cell autoantibody (ICA)-positive individuals. In addition, we assessed whether dysglycemia was sustained. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsParticipants (n = 515) in the Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 (DPT-1) with normal glucose tolerance who underwent periodic oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) were followed for incident dysglycemia (impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance, and/or high glucose levels at intermediate time points of OGTTs). Incident dysglycemia at the 6-month visit was assessed for type 1 diabetes prediction.

resultsOf 515 participants with a normal baseline OGTT, 310 (60%) had at least one episode of dysglycemia over a maximum follow-up of 7 years. Dysglycemia at the 6-month visit was highly predictive of the development of type 1 diabetes, both in those aged <13 years (P < 0.001) and those aged > or =13 years (P < 0.01). Those aged <13 years with dysglycemia at the 6-month visit had a high cumulative incidence (94% estimate by 5 years). Among those who developed type 1 diabetes after a dysglycemic OGTT and who had at least two OGTTs after the dysglycemic OGTT, 33 of 64 (52%) reverted back to a normal OGTT. However, 26 (79%) of the 33 then had another dysglycemic OGTT before diagnosis.

conclusionsICA-positive individuals with normal glucose tolerance had a high incidence of dysglycemia. Incident dysglycemia in those who are ICA positive is strongly predictive of type 1 diabetes. Children with incident dysglycemia have an especially high risk. Fluctuations in and out of the dysglycemic state are not uncommon before the onset of type 1 diabetes.

Indexed as

AdolescentBlood GlucoseChildDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1FemaleGlucose IntoleranceGlucose Tolerance TestHumansMaleProportional Hazards ModelsBlood Glucose

Identifiers

PMID19487644
PMCPMC2732147
OpenAlexW2124855406

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.