ArticleEvolutionary bioinformatics online2007
Hedging our bets: the expected contribution of species to future phylogenetic diversity.
Article in Evolutionary bioinformatics online, 2007. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Pooled it
- Anthropocene Imperilment of Ancient Diversity and Evolutionary Potential in Terrestrial Vertebrates.Research square · 2025Article
- Neutral phylogenetic models and their role in tree-based biodiversity measures.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Review
- Advancing EDGE Zones to identify spatial conservation priorities of tetrapod evolutionary history.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Phylogenetic Biodiversity Metrics Should Account for Both Accumulation and Attrition of Evolutionary Heritage.Systematic biology · 2024Article
- Global conservation status of the jawed vertebrate Tree of Life.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Implications of gene tree heterogeneity on downstream phylogenetic analyses: A case study employing the Fair Proportion index.PloS one · 2024Article
- Spatial decoupling of taxon richness, phylogenetic diversity and threat status in the megagenusPhytoKeys · 2024Article
- Functional diversity of sharks and rays is highly vulnerable and supported by unique species and locations worldwide.Nature communications · 2023Article
- The EDGE2 protocol: Advancing the prioritisation of Evolutionarily Distinct and Globally Endangered species for practical conservation action.PLoS biology · 2023Article
- Evolutionary diversity of the endemic genera of the vascular flora of Chile and its implications for conservation.PloS one · 2023Article
- Revisiting species and areas of interest for conserving global mammalian phylogenetic diversity.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Reconciling the concepts and measures of diversity, rarity and originality in ecology and evolution.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2019Review
- Gymnosperms on the EDGE.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Tetrapods on the EDGE: Overcoming data limitations to identify phylogenetic conservation priorities.PloS one · 2018Article
- Tongues on the EDGE: language preservation priorities based on threat and lexical distinctiveness.Royal Society open science · 2017Article
- Integrating data-deficient species in analyses of evolutionary history loss.Ecology and evolution · 2016Article
- Article
- I-HEDGE: determining the optimum complementary sets of taxa for conservation using evolutionary isolation.PeerJ · 2016Article
- A synthetic phylogeny of freshwater crayfish: insights for conservation.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2015Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
If predictions for species extinctions hold, then the 'tree of life' today may be quite different to that in (say) 100 years. We describe a technique to quantify how much each species is likely to contribute to future biodiversity, as measured by its expected contribution to phylogenetic diversity. Our approach considers all possible scenarios for the set of species that will be extant at some future time, and weights them according to their likelihood under an independent (but not identical) distribution on species extinctions. Although the number of extinction scenarios can typically be very large, we show that there is a simple algorithm that will quickly compute this index. The method is implemented and applied to the prosimian primates as a test case, and the associated species ranking is compared to a related measure (the 'Shapley index'). We describe indices for rooted and unrooted trees, and a modification that also includes the focal taxon's probability of extinction and which links two complementary approaches to conserving phylogenetic diversity.
Indexed as
Identifiers
19461983PMC2684137What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.