Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19396166›Full record

ReviewNature neuroscience2009

Circular analysis in systems neuroscience: the dangers of double dipping.

Nikolaus Kriegeskorte, W Kyle Simmons, Patrick S F Bellgowan, Chris I Baker

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature neuroscience, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1,428 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1,428citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01861405 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2013, after this paper: background citation

Neurocognitive and fMRI Activation Changes Observed at Baseline and After Whole Brain Radiation vs. Radiosurgery for Patients With Cerebral Metastases: a Prospective Case-control Analysis.

TypeobservationalSponsorThomas Jefferson UniversityRan2013Enrolled60ConditionsCerebral Metastases PatientsArmsneuropsychological testing and quality of life assessments, Standard of Care WBRT or SRS, Functional magnetic resonance imaging
NCT03766191 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

The Relation of Genetic Factors, Food Cues, and Self-Regulation With Excess Consumption and Adiposity in Children

TypeinterventionalSponsorTrustees of Dartmouth CollegeRan2019 to 2024Enrolled189ConditionsChildhood ObesityArmsFood Ads, Non-food Ads
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1,428 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  12. Big data research: the importance of the data-generating process and domain expertise.World psychiatry : official journal of the World Psychiatric Association (WPA) · 2026
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1,368 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Nikolaus KriegeskorteLaboratory of Brain and Cognition, US National Institute of Mental Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA. nikokriegeskorte@gmail.com
W Kyle Simmons
Patrick S F Bellgowan
Chris I Baker

Funding

Object, face, body and scene representations in the human brainZIAMH002909 · NIMH · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF MENTAL HEALTH · PI BAKER, CHRIS · 2009 to 2025
$25.5M
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA MH002909
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A neuroscientific experiment typically generates a large amount of data, of which only a small fraction is analyzed in detail and presented in a publication. However, selection among noisy measurements can render circular an otherwise appropriate analysis and invalidate results. Here we argue that systems neuroscience needs to adjust some widespread practices to avoid the circularity that can arise from selection. In particular, 'double dipping', the use of the same dataset for selection and selective analysis, will give distorted descriptive statistics and invalid statistical inference whenever the results statistics are not inherently independent of the selection criteria under the null hypothesis. To demonstrate the problem, we apply widely used analyses to noise data known to not contain the experimental effects in question. Spurious effects can appear in the context of both univariate activation analysis and multivariate pattern-information analysis. We suggest a policy for avoiding circularity.

Indexed as

AnimalsArtifactsData CollectionData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansImage Processing, Computer-AssistedMagnetic Resonance ImagingNeurosciencesReproducibility of ResultsSelection BiasSystems Biology

Identifiers

PMID19396166
PMCPMC2841687

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.