Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19289933›Full record

ReviewNursing research

Simpson's paradox and experimental research.

Suzanne Ameringer, Ronald C Serlin, Sandra Ward

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nursing research. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The price of fame? Mortality risk among famous singers.Journal of epidemiology and community health · 2026
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  7. Decision Curve Analysis for Personalized Treatment Choice between Multiple Options.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2023
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  9. Review
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  14. Risk factors for piperacillin/tazobactam-resistant Gram-negative infection in hematology/oncology patients with febrile neutropenia.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2015
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Suzanne AmeringerVirginia Commonwealth University, 1100 East Leigh Street, Richmond, VA 23219, USA. swameringer@vcu.edu
Ronald C Serlin
Sandra Ward

Funding

Barriers to Pain Management in Adolescents with CancerF31NR009324 · NINR · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI AMERINGER, SUZANNE W · 2004 to 2006
$90k
NINR NIH HHS F31 NR009324
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExperimental research in nursing has increased considerably in recent years. To improve the quality of such research, it is critical to reduce threats to internal validity. One threat that has received inadequate attention in the nursing literature is Simpson's paradox--a case of extreme confounding that can lead to erroneous conclusions about the effects of an experimental intervention. In fact, it can lead to a conclusion about an intervention effect that is the opposite of the correct inference. APPROACH: The aims of this study were to describe Simpson's paradox, provide a hypothetical example, and discuss approaches to avoiding the paradox.

resultsThe paradox is due to the combination of an overlooked confounding variable and a disproportionate allocation of that variable among experimental groups. Different designs and analysis approaches that can be used to avoid the paradox are presented. DISCUSSION: Simpson's paradox can be avoided by selecting an appropriate experimental design and analysis that incorporates the confounding variable in such a way as to obtain unconfounded estimates of treatment effects, thus more accurately answering the research question.

Indexed as

Confounding Factors, EpidemiologicData Interpretation, StatisticalAnalysis of VarianceBiasEffect Modifier, EpidemiologicHumansModels, StatisticalNursing ResearchRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsResearch DesignSeverity of Illness IndexTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID19289933
PMCPMC2880329

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.