Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19285994›Full record

ArticleTheoretical population biology2009

The rate at which asexual populations cross fitness valleys.

Daniel B Weissman, Michael M Desai, Daniel S Fisher, Marcus W Feldman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Theoretical population biology, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 113 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
113citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

113 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Evolutionary dynamics under phenotypic uncertainty.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Game changing mutation.Royal Society open science · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Linkage equilibrium between rare mutations.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Mutation pressure, drift, and the pace of molecular coevolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  19. Impact of population size on early adaptation in rugged fitness landscapes.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  20. Article

53 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Daniel B WeissmanDepartment of Biological Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Michael M Desai
Daniel S Fisher
Marcus W Feldman

Funding

Spatial Patterning During DevelopmentP50GM071508 · NIGMS · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI BOTSTEIN, DAVID · 2004 to 2013
$30.6M
POPULATION GENETICS THEORYR01GM028016 · NIGMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI FELDMAN, MARCUS W · 1985 to 2010
$2.5M
NIGMS NIH HHS GM28016NIGMS NIH HHS P50 GM071508NIGMS NIH HHS P50GM071508NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM028016
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Complex traits often involve interactions between different genetic loci. This can lead to sign epistasis, whereby mutations that are individually deleterious or neutral combine to confer a fitness benefit. In order to acquire the beneficial genotype, an asexual population must cross a fitness valley or plateau by first acquiring the deleterious or neutral intermediates. Here, we present a complete, intuitive theoretical description of the valley-crossing process across the full spectrum of possible parameter regimes. We calculate the rate at which a population crosses a fitness valley or plateau of arbitrary width, as a function of the mutation rates, the population size, and the fitnesses of the intermediates. We find that when intermediates are close to neutral, a large population can cross even wide fitness valleys remarkably quickly, so that valley-crossing dynamics may be common even when mutations that directly increase fitness are also possible. Thus the evolutionary dynamics of large populations can be sensitive to the structure of an extended region of the fitness landscape - the population may not take directly uphill paths in favor of paths across valleys and plateaus that lead eventually to fitter genotypes. In smaller populations, we find that below a threshold size, which depends on the width of the fitness valley and the strength of selection against intermediate genotypes, valley-crossing is much less likely and hence the evolutionary dynamics are less influenced by distant regions of the fitness landscape.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalReproduction, AsexualGenotype

Identifiers

PMID19285994
PMCPMC2992471

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.