Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19262978›Full record

ArticleClinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society2009

EuroSCORE overestimates the risk of cardiac surgery: results from the national registry of the German Society of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery.

J F Gummert, A Funkat, B Osswald, A Beckmann, W Schiller, A Krian, F Beyersdorf, A Haverich, J Cremer

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. A machine learning algorithm-based risk prediction score for in-hospital/30-day mortality after adult cardiac surgery.European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Comparison of machine learning techniques in prediction of mortality following cardiac surgery: analysis of over 220 000 patients from a large national database.European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Transvascular transcatheter aortic valve implantation in 2017.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2020
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Trends in aortic valve replacement in Germany in 2015: transcatheter versus isolated surgical aortic valve repair.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2017
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Can postoperative mean transprosthetic pressure gradient predict survival after aortic valve replacement?Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2014
    Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

J F GummertDirektor der Klinik für Thorax- und Kardiovaskularchirurgie, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum Nordrhein Westfalen, Universitätsklinik der Ruhruniversität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany. gummert@hdz-nrw.de
A Funkat
B Osswald
A Beckmann
W Schiller
A Krian
F Beyersdorf
A Haverich
J Cremer

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe EuroSCORE risk stratification model has been developed in 1995 and is still widely used to assess individual patient risk prior to cardiac surgery. Furthermore, the score advanced to a decision tool to determine so-called "high-risk patients" and in consequence serves as an important selection criterion in new technologies, such as the catheter-based aortic valve replacement. Several studies with relatively small patient numbers showed a substantial overestimation of risk by the EuroSCORE. The aim of our study was to evaluate whether the nationwide data support this finding.

methodsA subgroup of the registry of the German Society of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery from 2006 and 2007, with 32,806 patients undergoing isolated coronary surgery and isolated aortic valve replacement was investigated.

resultsThe overall hospital mortality in isolated coronary surgery in this patient cohort (n = 26,501 patients) was 2.6% (n = 695). The overall hospital mortality in isolated aortic valve replacement in this patient cohort (n = 6,305 patients) was 3.9% (n = 245). The logistic EuroSCORE predicted a proportion of 5.2% for patients with isolated CABG and 7.3% for patients with isolated aortic valve replacement. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.77 for isolated CABG procedures and 0.69 for isolated valve procedures, supporting the substantial lack of predictive value of the EuroSCORE.

conclusionThe logistic EuroSCORE insufficiently evaluates the risk of the current patient population and therefore should be carefully used as a tool for important therapeutic decision-making.

Indexed as

RegistriesAdultGermanyHealth Status IndicatorsHeart Valve Prosthesis ImplantationHumansPrognosisReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentSensitivity and SpecificitySurvival AnalysisSurvival RateTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.