Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19229330›Full record

ArticlePloS one2009

Quantitative trait evolution and environmental change.

Mats Björklund, Esa Ranta, Veijo Kaitala, Lars A Bach, Per Lundberg, Nils Chr Stenseth

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Evolutionary rescue in resistance to pesticides.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  2. Article
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  5. Plastid Genomes of the Early Vascular Plant GenusInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2021
    Article
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  10. Article
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  14. Review
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  16. Evolutionary rescue beyond the models.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2013
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mats BjörklundDepartment of Animal Ecology, Evolutionary Biology Centre, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden. Mats.Bjorklund@ebc.uu.se
Esa Ranta
Veijo Kaitala
Lars A Bach
Per Lundberg
Nils Chr Stenseth

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGiven the recent changes in climate, there is an urgent need to understand the evolutionary ability of populations to respond to these changes. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsWe performed individual-based simulations with different shapes of the fitness curve, different heritabilities, different levels of density compensation, and different autocorrelation of environmental noise imposed on an environmental trend to study the ability of a population to adapt to changing conditions. The main finding is that when there is a positive autocorrelation of environmental noise, the outcome of the evolutionary process is much more unpredictable compared to when the noise has no autocorrelation. In addition, we found that strong selection resulted in a higher load, and more extinctions, and that this was most pronounced when heritability was low. The level of density-compensation was important in determining the variance in load when there was strong selection, and when genetic variance was lower when the level of density-compensation was low.

conclusionsThe strong effect of the details of the environmental fluctuations makes predictions concerning the evolutionary future of populations very hard to make. In addition, to be able to make good predictions we need information on heritability, fitness functions and levels of density compensation. The results strongly suggest that patterns of environmental noise must be incorporated in future models of environmental change, such as global warming.

Indexed as

Biological EvolutionGenetics, PopulationGreenhouse EffectQuantitative Trait, HeritableComputer SimulationEnvironmentForecastingHumansModels, Theoretical

Identifiers

PMID19229330
PMCPMC2639695

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.