Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19205867›Full record

ReviewAIDS and behavior2009

Running in place: implications of HIV incidence estimates among urban men who have sex with men in the United States and other industrialized countries.

Ron Stall, Luis Duran, Stephen R Wisniewski, Mark S Friedman, Michael P Marshal, Willi McFarland, Thomas E Guadamuz, Thomas C Mills

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in AIDS and behavior, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Anogenital Human Papillomavirus and HIV Infection in Rwandan Men Who Have Sex With Men.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2020
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Capturing HIV Incidence Among MSM Through At-Home and Self-reported Facility-based Testing.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2017
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Context of First Same-Sex Condom Use and Nonuse in Young Black Gay and Bisexual Males.Journal of research on adolescence : the official journal of the Society for Research on Adolescence · 2016
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Does Age Matter Among Young Black Men Who Have Sex With Men? A Comparison of Risk Behaviors Stratified by Age Category.AIDS education and prevention : official publication of the International Society for AIDS Education · 2016
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ron StallDepartment of Behavioral and Community Health Sciences, University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, 208 Parran Hall 130 DeSoto Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15261, USA. rstall@pitt.edu
Luis Duran
Stephen R Wisniewski
Mark S Friedman
Michael P Marshal
Willi McFarland
Thomas E Guadamuz
Thomas C Mills

Funding

Long Term Health Effects of Methamphetamine Use in the MACSR01DA022936 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI STALL, RONALD D · 2007 to 2009
$1.4M
Longitudinal Internet Research Investigating Health Outcomes in AdolescenceK01MH080648 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI FRIEDMAN, MARK S · 2007 to 2011
$807k
Parent Alcoholism Among ADHD Youth: A Longitudinal StudyK01AA015100 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MARSHAL, MICHAEL P · 2005 to 2009
$505k
NIAAA NIH HHS AA015100NIAAA NIH HHS K01 AA015100NIDA NIH HHS DA022936NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA022936NIMH NIH HHS K01 MH080648NIMH NIH HHS MH080648
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Attempts to document changing HIV incidence rates among MSM are compromised by issues of generalizability and statistical power. To address these issues, this paper reports annualized mean HIV incidence rates from the entire published incidence literature on MSM from Europe, North America and Australia for the period 1995-2005. Publications that met the entry criteria were coded for region of the world, sampling method and year of study. From these reports, we calculated a mean incidence rate with confidence intervals for these variables. Although no differences in mean incidence rates were found for MSM from 1995 to 2005, HIV incidence rates are lower in Australia than either North America or Europe. We calculated a mean incidence rate of 2.39% for MSM in the United States, which if sustained within a cohort of MSM, would yield HIV prevalence rate of approximately 40% at age 40. These extrapolations overlap published HIV prevalence rates for MSM younger than age 40 in the United States. HIV incidence rates in the 2-3% range will adversely affect the health of gay male communities for decades to come. This analysis suggests that greater attention should be devoted to the question of how best to design prevention interventions that will lower HIV incidence rates among gay men.

Indexed as

Homosexuality, MaleAdultAustraliaDeveloped CountriesEuropeHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleNorth AmericaUrban PopulationYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID19205867
PMCPMC3738434

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.