Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19204810›Full record

ArticleEvolutionary bioinformatics online2008

How to summarize estimates of ancestral divergence times.

David A Morrison

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolutionary bioinformatics online, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Wilson and Sarich (1969): The birth of a molecular evolution research paradigm.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

David A MorrisonDepartment of Parasitology (SWEPAR), National Veterinary Institute and Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden. David.Morrison@bvf.slu.se

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The use of molecular sequence data has increased interest in trying to date evolutionary events, with researchers wanting both an estimate of the divergence time and a confidence interval for that estimate. However, two methodological issues have recently been raised with respect to precision of the estimates: (i) the time of the ancestral event is over-estimated; and (ii) the confidence interval is asymmetrical. I argue that if the estimates of divergence time are considered to be samples from a lognormal probability distribution, then this would explain both of these problems. This implies that divergence times should be presented using geometric means rather than arithmetic means, both for estimates and for their confidence intervals. I present analyses based on both computer simulations and empirical data to show that this approach is effective for both single-gene and multiple-gene data sets. Treating divergence time as a lognormal variable thus provides a simple unifying framework for dealing with many of the problems associated with the estimation of divergence (and possibly coalescence) times. Use of this approach (based on geometric means) can, unfortunately, lead to very different biological conclusions compared to the currently used calculation methods (based on arithmetic means).

Indexed as

divergence timegeometric meanlognormal distribution

Identifiers

PMID19204810
PMCPMC2614201

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.