Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19192182›Full record

ArticleMolecular ecology2009

Statistical hypothesis testing in intraspecific phylogeography: nested clade phylogeographical analysis vs. approximate Bayesian computation.

Alan R Templeton

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular ecology, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Effects of the population pedigree on genetic signatures of historical demographic events.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2016
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Biological races in humans.Studies in history and philosophy of biological and biomedical sciences · 2013
    Article
  8. Approximate Bayesian computation.PLoS computational biology · 2013
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Lack of confidence in approximate Bayesian computation model choice.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2011
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Incoherent phylogeographic inference.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2010
    Article
  16. Correcting approximate Bayesian computation.Trends in ecology & evolution · 2010
    Article
  17. Coherent and incoherent inference in phylogeography and human evolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2010
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Alan R TempletonDepartment of Biology, Washington University, St. Louis, MO 63130-4899, USA. temple_a@wustl.edu

Funding

Variable DNA sites predicting interindividual variation in health measuresP50GM065509 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SING, CHARLES · 2001 to 2011
$27.5M
NIGMS NIH HHS P50 GM065509NIGMS NIH HHS P50-GM65509
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nested clade phylogeographical analysis (NCPA) and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have been used to test phylogeographical hypotheses. Multilocus NCPA tests null hypotheses, whereas ABC discriminates among a finite set of alternatives. The interpretive criteria of NCPA are explicit and allow complex models to be built from simple components. The interpretive criteria of ABC are ad hoc and require the specification of a complete phylogeographical model. The conclusions from ABC are often influenced by implicit assumptions arising from the many parameters needed to specify a complex model. These complex models confound many assumptions so that biological interpretations are difficult. Sampling error is accounted for in NCPA, but ABC ignores important sources of sampling error that creates pseudo-statistical power. NCPA generates the full sampling distribution of its statistics, but ABC only yields local probabilities, which in turn make it impossible to distinguish between a good fitting model, a non-informative model, and an over-determined model. Both NCPA and ABC use approximations, but convergences of the approximations used in NCPA are well defined whereas those in ABC are not. NCPA can analyse a large number of locations, but ABC cannot. Finally, the dimensionality of tested hypothesis is known in NCPA, but not for ABC. As a consequence, the 'probabilities' generated by ABC are not true probabilities and are statistically non-interpretable. Accordingly, ABC should not be used for hypothesis testing, but simulation approaches are valuable when used in conjunction with NCPA or other methods that do not rely on highly parameterized models.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremGeographyModels, StatisticalPhylogenyComputer SimulationEvolution, MolecularModels, GeneticSelection Bias

Identifiers

PMID19192182
PMCPMC2696056

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.