Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19183458›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of health geographics2009

A multilevel model for cardiovascular disease prevalence in the US and its application to micro area prevalence estimates.

Peter Congdon

Abstract read
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Article in International journal of health geographics, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Overcoming data challenges examining oral health disparities in appalachia.Online journal of public health informatics · 2012
    Article
  11. Article
  12. The effects of rurality on mental and physical health.Health services & outcomes research methodology · 2010
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Peter CongdonDepartment of Geography and Center for Statistics, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK. p.congdon@qmul.ac.uk

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEstimates of disease prevalence for small areas are increasingly required for the allocation of health funds according to local need. Both individual level and geographic risk factors are likely to be relevant to explaining prevalence variations, and in turn relevant to the procedure for small area prevalence estimation. Prevalence estimates are of particular importance for major chronic illnesses such as cardiovascular disease.

methodsA multilevel prevalence model for cardiovascular outcomes is proposed that incorporates both survey information on patient risk factors and the effects of geographic location. The model is applied to derive micro area prevalence estimates, specifically estimates of cardiovascular disease for Zip Code Tabulation Areas in the USA. The model incorporates prevalence differentials by age, sex, ethnicity and educational attainment from the 2005 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System survey. Influences of geographic context are modelled at both county and state level, with the county effects relating to poverty and urbanity. State level influences are modelled using a random effects approach that allows both for spatial correlation and spatial isolates.

resultsTo assess the importance of geographic variables, three types of model are compared: a model with person level variables only; a model with geographic effects that do not interact with person attributes; and a full model, allowing for state level random effects that differ by ethnicity. There is clear evidence that geographic effects improve statistical fit.

conclusionGeographic variations in disease prevalence partly reflect the demographic composition of area populations. However, prevalence variations may also show distinct geographic 'contextual' effects. The present study demonstrates by formal modelling methods that improved explanation is obtained by allowing for distinct geographic effects (for counties and states) and for interaction between geographic and person variables. Thus an appropriate methodology to estimate prevalence at small area level should include geographic effects as well as person level demographic variables.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleGeographic Information SystemsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRegression AnalysisRisk FactorsRural PopulationSex Distribution

Identifiers

PMID19183458
PMCPMC2647533

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.