Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19056806›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of epidemiology2009

Seasonality of rotavirus disease in the tropics: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Karen Levy, Alan E Hubbard, Joseph N S Eisenberg

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of epidemiology, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03602053 (An Open-label, Randomized, Controlled, Single Centre, Phase IIb Study to Assess the Immunogenicity, Reactogenicity and Safety of Three Live Oral Rotavirus Vaccines, ROTAVAC® , ROTAVAC 5CM and Rotarix® in Healthy Zambian Infants), which is not on this map. Cited by 151 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
151citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03602053 phase2 / phase3completednot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

An Open-label, Randomized, Controlled, Single Centre, Phase IIb Study to Assess the Immunogenicity, Reactogenicity and Safety of Three Live Oral Rotavirus Vaccines, ROTAVAC® , ROTAVAC 5CM and Rotarix® in Healthy Zambian Infants

TypeinterventionalSponsorCentre for Infectious Disease Research in ZambiaRan2019 to 2019Enrolled450ConditionsDiarrhea, Diarrhea RotavirusArmsROTAVAC®, ROTAVAC 5D, Rotarix®
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

151 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Temperature and risk of infectious diarrhea: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021
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  4. Modeling environmentally mediated rotavirus transmission: The role of temperature and hydrologic factors.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018
    Pooled it
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91 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Karen LevyDepartment of Environmental Science, University of California, Berkeley, USA. karenlev@umich.edu
Alan E Hubbard
Joseph N S Eisenberg

Funding

Environment Change and Diarrheal Disease: A Natural ExperimentR01AI050038 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI EISENBERG, JOSEPH N. S. · 2003 to 2012
$6.1M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI050038NIAID NIH HHS R01AI050038
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo date little conclusive evidence exists on the seasonality of rotavirus incidence in the tropics. We present a systematic review and meta-analysis on the seasonal epidemiology of rotavirus in the tropics, including 26 studies reporting continuous monthly rotavirus incidence for which corresponding climatological data was available.

methodsUsing linear regression models that account for serial correlation between months, monthly rotavirus incidence was significantly negatively correlated with temperature, rainfall and relative humidity in 65%, 55% and 60% of studies, respectively. We carried out pooled analyses using a generalized estimating equation (GEE) that accounts for correlation from between-study variation and serial correlation between months within a given study.

resultsFor every 1 degrees C (1.8 degrees F) increase in mean temperature, 1 cm (0.39 in.) increase in mean monthly rainfall, and 1% increase in relative humidity (22%) this analysis showed reductions in rotavirus incidence of 10% (95% CI: 6-13%), 1% (95% CI: 0-1%), and 3% (95% CI:0-5%), respectively.

conclusionsOn the basis of the evidence, we conclude that rotavirus responds to changes in climate in the tropics, with the highest number of infections found at the colder and drier times of the year.

Indexed as

Tropical ClimateDiarrheaHumansHumidityIncidenceLinear ModelsRainRisk FactorsRotavirus InfectionsSeasonsTemperature

Identifiers

PMID19056806
PMCPMC2800782

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.