Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19050192›Full record

ArticleJAMA2008

Alcohol consumption and risk of incident atrial fibrillation in women.

David Conen, Usha B Tedrow, Nancy R Cook, M V Moorthy, Julie E Buring, Christine M Albert

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
8.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 192 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Alcohol consumption and risk of atrial fibrillation: a pairwise and network meta-analysis.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Effect of alcohol on blood pressure.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2020
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA)/European Association of Cardiovascular Prevention and Rehabilitation (EACPR) position paper on how to prevent atrial fibrillation endorsed by the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS) and Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS).Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2017
    Guideline
  7. Guideline
  8. Guideline
  9. Guideline
  10. Alcohol consumption as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European journal of cardiovascular prevention and rehabilitation : official journal of the European Society of Cardiology, Working Groups on Epidemiology & Prevention and Cardiac Rehabilitation and Exercise Physiology · 2010
    Pooled it
  11. Trial
  12. Trial
  13. Trial
  14. Caffeine consumption and incident atrial fibrillation in women.The American journal of clinical nutrition · 2010
    Trial
  15. Trial
  16. Article
  17. Modifiable Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation: Clinical Implications and Pathophysiological Insights.Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2026
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Alcohol Intake and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: RE-LY AF Registry Analysis.Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2025
    Article

18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

David ConenCenter for Arrhythmia Prevention, Division of Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. conend@uhbs.ch
Usha B Tedrow
Nancy R Cook
M V Moorthy
Julie E Buring
Christine M Albert
Brigham and Women's Hospital · US

Funding

Women's Health Study: Continued Follow-upR01CA047988 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BURING, JULIE E., LEE, I-MIN · 1991 to 2014
$28.2M
Women's Health Study: Continued Follow-UpR01HL080467 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BURING, JULIE E. · 2005 to 2010
$4.5M
TRIAL OF VITAMIN E, BETA-CAROTENE &ASPRIN IN WOMENR01HL043851 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BURING, JULIE E · 1991 to 2000
$1.6M
NCI NIH HHS CA-047988NCI NIH HHS R01 CA047988NHLBI NIH HHS HL-043851NHLBI NIH HHS HL-080467NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL043851NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080467
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextPrevious studies suggest that consuming moderate to high amounts of alcohol on a regular basis might increase the risk of developing atrial fibrillation in men but not in women. However, these studies were not powered to investigate the association of alcohol consumption and atrial fibrillation among women.

objectiveTo prospectively assess the association between regular alcohol consumption and incident atrial fibrillation among women. DESIGN, SETTING, AND

participantsParticipants were 34 715 initially healthy women participating in the Women's Health Study, a completed randomized controlled trial conducted in the United States. Participants were older than 45 years and free of atrial fibrillation at baseline and underwent prospective follow-up from 1993 to October 31, 2006. Alcohol consumption was assessed via questionnaires at baseline and at 48 months of follow-up and was grouped into 4 categories (0, > 0 and < 1, > or = 1 and < 2, and > or = 2 drinks per day). Atrial fibrillation was self-reported on the yearly questionnaires and subsequently confirmed by electrocardiogram and medical record review.

main outcome measureTime to first episode of atrial fibrillation.

resultsOver a median follow-up of 12.4 years, 653 cases of incident atrial fibrillation were confirmed. Age-adjusted incidences among women consuming 0 (n = 15,370), more than 0 and less than 1 (n = 15,758), 1 or more and less than 2 (n = 2228), and 2 or more (n = 1359) drinks per day were 1.59, 1.55, 1.27, and 2.25 events/1000 person-years of follow-up. Thus, compared with nondrinking women, women consuming 2 or more drinks per day had an absolute risk increase of 0.66 events/1000 person-years. The corresponding multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for incident atrial fibrillation were 1, 1.05 (95% CI, 0.88-1.25), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.58-1.22), and 1.60 (95% CI, 1.13-2.25), respectively. The increased hazard in the small group of women consuming 2 or more drinks per day persisted when alcohol intake was updated at 48 months (HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.05-2.11) or when women were censored at their first cardiovascular event (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.18-2.39).

conclusionsAmong healthy middle-aged women, consumption of up to 2 alcoholic beverages per day was not associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation. Heavier consumption of 2 or more drinks per day, however, was associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk of atrial fibrillation.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAtrial FibrillationCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk

Identifiers

PMID19050192
PMCPMC2630715
OpenAlexW2123620954

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.