Evidence map›Paper›PMID 18990713›Full record

SynthesisSchizophrenia bulletin2010

Rates of homicide during the first episode of psychosis and after treatment: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Olav Nielssen, Matthew Large

Abstract readComparative StudyMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Schizophrenia bulletin, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Pooled it
  8. Forensic mental health service use in early psychosis: A scoping review.Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology · 2026
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Neurological soft signs and sociodemographic and clinical characteristics among patients with schizophrenia with and without a history of violence.Psychiatry, psychology, and law : an interdisciplinary journal of the Australian and New Zealand Association of Psychiatry, Psychology and Law · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Exploring Characteristics of Homicide Offenders With Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders Via Machine Learning.International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology · 2024
    Article
  14. TheFrontiers in psychiatry · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Olav NielssenClinical Research Unit for Anxiety Disorders, School of Psychiatry, UNSW at St Vincent's Hospital, 299 Forbes Street, Darlinghurst, NSW, 2010, Australia.
Matthew Large

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The observation that almost half of the homicides committed by people with a psychotic illness occur before initial treatment suggests an increased risk of homicide during the first episode of psychosis. The aim of this study was to estimate the rates of homicide during the first episode of psychosis and after treatment. A systematic search located 10 studies that reported details of all the homicide offenders with a psychotic illness within a known population during a specified period and reported the number of people who had received treatment prior to the offense. Meta-analysis of these studies showed that 38.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 31.1%-46.5%) of homicides occurred during the first episode of psychosis, prior to initial treatment. Homicides during first-episode psychosis occurred at a rate of 1.59 homicides per 1000 (95% CI = 1.06-2.40), equivalent to 1 in 629 presentations. The annual rate of homicide after treatment for psychosis was 0.11 homicides per 1000 patients (95% CI = 0.07-0.16), equivalent to 1 homicide in 9090 patients with schizophrenia per year. The rate ratio of homicide in the first episode of psychosis in these studies was 15.5 (95% CI = 11.0-21.7) times the annual rate of homicide after treatment for psychosis. Hence, the rate of homicide in the first episode of psychosis appears to be higher than previously recognized, whereas the annual rate of homicide by patients with schizophrenia after treatment is lower than previous estimates. Earlier treatment of first-episode psychosis might prevent some homicides.

Indexed as

Schizophrenic PsychologyAdultAlcoholismComorbidityCross-Cultural ComparisonCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHomicideHumansIncidenceMalePsychotic DisordersSchizophreniaSubstance-Related Disorders

Identifiers

PMID18990713
PMCPMC2894594

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.