Evidence map›Paper›PMID 18611265›Full record

Trial reportBMC medicine2008

A panel of kallikrein markers can reduce unnecessary biopsy for prostate cancer: data from the European Randomized Study of Prostate Cancer Screening in Göteborg, Sweden.

Andrew J Vickers, Angel M Cronin, Gunnar Aus, Carl-Gustav Pihl, Charlotte Becker, Kim Pettersson, Peter T Scardino, Jonas Hugosson, Hans Lilja

Abstract readComparative StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC medicine, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 133 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
133citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

133 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Screening for prostate cancer.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2013
    Pooled it
  6. Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Reducing unnecessary biopsy during prostate cancer screening using a four-kallikrein panel: an independent replication.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2010
    Trial
  11. Observational
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Evaluation of the 4Kscore Test in Relation to Subsequent Risk of Aggressive Prostate Cancer in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

73 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Andrew J VickersMemorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, East 63rd Street, New York, NY 10021, USA. vickersa@mskcc.org
Angel M Cronin
Gunnar Aus
Carl-Gustav Pihl
Charlotte Becker
Kim Pettersson
Peter T Scardino
Jonas Hugosson
Hans Lilja

Funding

SPORE In Prostate CancerP50CA092629 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Yu Chen, MICHAEL J MORRIS · 2001 to 2026
$63.0M
NCI NIH HHS P50 CA092629NCI NIH HHS P50-CA92629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProstate-specific antigen (PSA) is widely used to detect prostate cancer. The low positive predictive value of elevated PSA results in large numbers of unnecessary prostate biopsies. We set out to determine whether a multivariable model including four kallikrein forms (total, free, and intact PSA, and human kallikrein 2 (hK2)) could predict prostate biopsy outcome in previously unscreened men with elevated total PSA.

methodsThe study cohort comprised 740 men in Göteborg, Sweden, undergoing biopsy during the first round of the European Randomized study of Screening for Prostate Cancer. We calculated the area-under-the-curve (AUC) for predicting prostate cancer at biopsy. AUCs for a model including age and PSA (the 'laboratory' model) and age, PSA and digital rectal exam (the 'clinical' model) were compared with those for models that also included additional kallikreins.

resultsAddition of free and intact PSA and hK2 improved AUC from 0.68 to 0.83 and from 0.72 to 0.84, for the laboratory and clinical models respectively. Using a 20% risk of prostate cancer as the threshold for biopsy would have reduced the number of biopsies by 424 (57%) and missed only 31 out of 152 low-grade and 3 out of 40 high-grade cancers.

conclusionMultiple kallikrein forms measured in blood can predict the result of biopsy in previously unscreened men with elevated PSA. A multivariable model can determine which men should be advised to undergo biopsy and which might be advised to continue screening, but defer biopsy until there was stronger evidence of malignancy.

Indexed as

BiopsyHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsSensitivity and SpecificitySwedenProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID18611265
PMCPMC2474851

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.